The Digital Divide might be turning into a Scary Social Divide

The digital divide is a term that has been used for years to refer to the gap between demographics or areas that have access to modern information and communications technologies and those that do not or only have limited access. Going back to before the late 20th century, digital divide referred to those who had a phone, and I mean a landline phone, and those who did not. As we moved closer to 2000, the term started to separate those with internet access and those without it.

Let’s look at some numbers.

According to a 2016 Pew Research Center survey. Roughly three-in-ten adults with household incomes below $30,000 a year don’t own a smartphone. Nearly half don’t have home broadband or a computer. And the majority of lower-income Americans are not tablet owners. By comparison, many of these devices are nearly ubiquitous among adults from households earning $100,000 or more a year.

Higher-income Americans are also more likely to have multiple devices that enable them to go online. Two-thirds of adults living in high-earning households have home broadband, a smartphone, a desktop or laptop anda tablet, compared with 17% of those living in low-income households.

For many lower-income Americans, smartphones are the primary access to the internet. In 2016, one-fifth of adults living in households earning less than $30,000 a year were “smartphone-only” internet. This represents an increase from 12% in 2013. So while not always the ideal tool, smartphones have helped close the connectivity gap bringing the internet to households without broadband.

Location, as well as income, influence connectivity, and technology availability. Rural adults are less likely to have multiple devices to connect to the internet. About 20% of adults who live in rural communities report that they own a desktop or a laptop, a smartphone, a home broadband connection and a tablet compared to 40% of urban adults and 42% of suburban adults. Rural residents also go online less frequently than their urban and suburban counterparts. Roughly 58% of Americans in rural communities say they use the internet on at least a daily basis, compared with more than 80% of those in urban and 76% in suburban areas.

While the numbers have improved there is still work to do in the US, before we look at connecting the unconnected in emerging markets.

The Pace of Tech Adoption will maintain the Divide

Smartphones have been a great contributor to narrowing the digital divide thanks to initial subsidies which helped lower the total cost of ownership of being connected.  The next phase of computing is, however, expanding to devices that deliver experiences and services unlikely to be seen as a “necessity” and therefore harder to justify financially. Virtual Reality headsets and smart speakers come to mind. Technologies that are not a necessity at an individual level but that can make a considerable difference in education. There is a digital divide today in American schools between public and private and between affluent and non-affluent school districts. Never before, have we heard so much talk about STEM in schools but how will these programs develop? Will kids in more well-off schools be experiencing new ways to learn history by being transported into ancient Rome through VR while children attending less affluent schools will read about it on their Chromebooks or iPads? Will the kids in less well off schools learn to code while those in affluent schools are taught skills that machines cannot replace: art, music, critical thinking…

Other life changing technologies like driverless cars are likely to be dependent on location as well as income. If rolling out broadband to rural areas has taken a long time and it is still ongoing, think of what it will take to roll out the infrastructure needed for fully electric cars. Or think about the intelligence and data needed to have autonomous cars safely operate outside connected cities. Will the lack of electric cars make some areas of the country more polluted than others? Will the lack of self-driving cars and their promise to make our roads safer mean that car fatalities will impact certain social demographics?

Services Rather than Devices will be the Real Measure of the Digital Divide

What I am truly concerned about when it comes to the future of the digital divide is the range of services that are enabled by this new class of devices that might leave many people behind. Everything slowly but steadily is going digital from information to payments, entertainment, shopping and the list goes on and on. What kind of services will consumers not be exposed to either because they cannot afford the devices that will enable such experiences or because they live in an area that is not considered a prime target?

Same day delivery services, ride share services, meals delivery services, a fleet of driverless cars for rental…all these services will have a reach limited by the adoption they could generate making affluent urban areas the first and primary focus. Already today it is easy to see a correlation between income, technology, and services, which I expect will get tighter in the future. The potential to foster stronger social inequality than what we see today is obvious.

Companies such as Google and Facebook have spearheaded initiatives in markets such as India to connect the unconnected. They see America as being saturated not from a connectivity perspective but from an opportunity one. Unconnected or under-connected Americans might not be as valuable to these organizations, but they cannot be left behind as we all get excited by new shiny things and tech giants get excited at new revenue opportunity. What is at risk is too big to ignore: equal opportunity for all.

News You might have missed: Week of August 25th, 2017

Amazon’s Whole Foods acquisition to close on Monday

Amazon and Whole Foods Market announced on Thursday that Amazon’s acquisition of Whole Foods Market will close on Monday, August 28, 2017, and the two companies are not wasting any time. Their vision is making Whole Foods Market’s high-quality, natural and organic food affordable for everyone. So, as a first step, starting Monday, Whole Foods will offer lower prices on a selection of best-selling products across its stores: Whole Trade bananas, organic avocados, organic large brown eggs, organic responsibly-farmed salmon and tilapia, organic baby kale and baby lettuce, animal-welfare-rated 85% lean ground beef, creamy and crunchy almond butter, organic Gala and Fuji apples, organic rotisserie chicken, 365 Everyday Value organic butter, and much more. Amazon Prime Members will also benefit from perks such as rewards programs, Whole Foods products being added to AmazonFresh, Prime Pantry and Prime Now and the use of Amazon Lockers in store.

Via Amazon.com

  • Reducing prices is something every consumer like me who has shopped at Whole Foods rejoices about. Yet, I am sure I am not alone being concerned about the quality of the products going forward. Amazon reassured that quality will remain as high as we have been accustomed to so I suppose we should give it the benefit of the doubt.
  • A reward system and possible special offers limited to Prime Members will be a good incentive for people who have yet to sign up. It also represents an added value for current members as more stores now offer two day and same day delivery shipping options.
  • Price reductions are great news for customers and bad news for competitors who were probably not expecting the deal to close this quickly or for Amazon to move as fast

HTC Considering Options

The Taiwanese firm is working with an adviser as it considers bringing in a strategic investor, selling or spinning off its Vive virtual reality headset business.

Via Bloomberg 

  • Differentiating on hardware alone in the smartphone market has become impossible especially when differentiation does not come with lower prices.
  • Spinning off Vive to sell it I could see as an opportunity. While we are still in VR’s early days it is a segment where many vendors are hoping to be successful. Vive was able to establish itself as a leading player in the VR market. Buying Vive will give both expertise and a respected brand.
  • Spinning off the smartphone division is not something I see ending well. HTC has very little in terms of patents and I am not sure who could benefit.
  • HTC is manufacturing the Pixel for Google which some may think it would be enough for Google wanting to buy it. Yet, the current deal is much better for Google that can control the product without absorbing the risk of manufacturing
  • While some rumored the Chinese vendors as an option I do think, brands such as Xiaomi or Huawei would find it hard to use the HTC brand.

Google may be considering an Echo Dot- like Speaker

This week Android Police reported that at a rumored event in October, Google will be launching more than the awaited Pixel 2. Apparently, a Chromebook and a mini Google Home are on the way too.

Via Android Police

  • Google Home was an already aggressively priced device but as Amazon is pushing more Echo devices onto the market and lowering prices of current ones, Google cannot be standing still
  • The Echo Dot has done very well for Amazon. The impulse buy device has broadened the opportunity for Alexa with many users even adding several to the home and some even adding one to their car
  • So, it is no surprise to see Google consider a similar product. For both these players, hardware sales are not important per se. They only matter as far as they can help engage consumers with Google Assistant or Alexa.
  • Amazon has also moved up in price with Echo products such as Show and it will be interesting to see if Google will follow that path too. With Apple pointing to the quality of sound as the differentiator, Google and Amazon too might have to focus more on their speakers’ core functionality.

Apple scales Back Car’s Ambitions

Apple’s automotive ambitions are said to be more modest. The company has put off any notion of an Apple-branded autonomous vehicle and is instead working on the underlying technology that allows a car to drive itself. As cook said autonomous cars are the mother of all AI. Apple’s testing vehicles will carry employees between its various Silicon Valley offices. The new effort is called PAIL, short for Palo Alto to Infinite Loop, the address of the company’s main office in Cupertino, Calif., and a few miles down the road from Palo Alto, Calif. Apple’s in-house shuttle service, which isn’t operational yet, follows Waymo, Uber and several car companies that have been testing driverless cars on city streets around the world.

Via The New York Times 

  • It seems that Apple is becoming more realistic about what it should focus on with its effort.
  • Owning the car experience does not mean Apple has to make the car no more so than you believe Apple needs to build a house to sell me on HomeKit.
  • Considering the market push for car as a service it might also be plausible that Apple is more interested to provide a fleet for rental than cars to be bought at a dealership
  • Reining in the effort not to waste time and money on redesigning things that are not crucial to the final delivery of a product is a sensible thing to do and should not drive us to believe Apple wants a smaller role in this next phase of rethinking transportation
  • I still think Apple is more concerned about owning our experience in the car when the car becomes an extension of our living room or our office than selling us a car. Revenue will come from that experience not from the car itself.

Via The New York Times

 

Why Apple Should add Pencil Support for iPhone

A few months ago the United States Patent and Trademark Office awarded patent 9,658,707 to Apple. The title of the patent is: “Devices and methods for manipulating user interfaces with a stylus” and aside from describing using a stylus with portable communications devices such as iPhone and iPad it hints at the ability to do so in a wide range of apps. The words iPhone and phone feature several times in the patent. Of course, we all know too well, that not everything covered by a patent actually makes it to market so maybe we should not get too excited…yet.

Back in September, during an interview with NDTV, in response to a question about launching the Apple Pencil Tim Cook said:

“Well we launched a pencil not a stylus, first of all, and there’s a big difference and the things that people are doing with this pencil, I think that Steve would have loved. He loved to help people create. And if you’ve ever seen what can be created with that pencil on an iPad or an iPhone, it’s really unbelievable.”

Cook could have simply misspoken and whether Apple is or isn’t planning to bring Pencil to the iPhone is for anyone to guess, but I want to make an argument that it really should be considered.

Styli are no Longer a UI Crutch

Steve Jobs once said “If you see a stylus, they blew it”. And he was right. When he made that statement, styli were a way to navigate a user interface (UI) that was not ready for a touch-first experience. Even the strongest Windows supporter will admit that Windows 8 was a poor attempt at adapting a PC Keyboard+Mouse UI to a touch-first UI. The styli that Surface and many other models added was a crutch to help users navigate through that UI, help them bridge from keyboard and mouse to touch.

Things have come a long way since then. Not all vendors are seeing the role of the pen in the same way but all seem to agree that there is a role to play in the modern workflow of content creation.

In the same interview quoted above, Cook was quick to point out how Apple added a Pencil not a Pen to the iPad. While I would argue that distinction is all about semantics, I can concede to Cook that Apple’s focus was more on what Pencil could do for artists than a regular user. At least at first, Pencil was really aimed at artists as a tool to drawn, sketch, paint. With iOS 11 more use cases have been added for less art-inclined users . For instance, you can now use Apple Pencil to mark up webpages, screenshots, email, and more. You can also, now, tap Apple Pencil on the lock screen to instantly access the Notes app.

Inking on Windows 10 has clearly shown how a pen can complement nicely a keyboard and not just be a welcomed addition for artists. As with the overall tablet philosophy, Microsoft and Apple reached a very similar result coming from two very different starting points. Many of the features that Apple Pencil will support with iOS 11 have been available on Windows 10 and the Surface Pen for a while. Only more recently with the addition of Surface Studio to the Surface portfolio, Microsoft has shown a more artistic use of Surface Pen.

Bottom line, no matter what path they took, both Microsoft and Apple believe there is a role for a pen/pencil.

Samsung’s Note: from Niche to Mainstream

Styli have not just been relegated to tablets. Over the years phones such as the Palm Treo, the Sony Ericsson P910 and of course the Samsung Note family all had a stylus.

When the first Samsung Note hit the market back in 2011, Samsung might have been more concerned with differentiating from the competition than thinking about how a pen could empower users to do more, especially with the larger screen real-estate their brand new device was offering. While that first experience left a lot to be desired, Samsung’s focus on S Pen and the software support that comes with it grew making the overall experience much more enjoyable. I expect the Note 8 to be announced later this morning to show even more improvement when it comes to app support for S Pen.

The wider availability of Windows 10-based devices with stylus support and Apple Pencil on iPad have certainly broadened the appeal for styli. I expect Samsung to benefit from this wider acceptance of a pen as a real tool to improve productivity. When productivity can mean anything from drawing, to sketching a message, to enhancing a photo or quickly jot down some notes without having to open the phone first.

Keyboard, Pen, Voice…it is all about the Best Tool for the Job

Voice is the hot feature for any device right now. Yet, voice cannot be the panacea for all the interactions we have with our devices. No one interaction method can be. In fact, voice came about because touch was not seen as the only way to interact with devices either. Technically, replicating a voice interaction between humans is not an easy task when you are mixing humans and devices. Right now it also feels like humans need to learn a new language to master such interactions. Yet, voice remains one of the most intuitive UIs.

When you think about it though, using a pen or a pencil is almost as intuitive as using voice for many people. Our spelling and neat handwriting skills might have deteriorated thanks to smartphones, predictive typing and emojis but we still know how to do it. So much so, I still see many people going to meetings with a good old paper notebook and a pen. Some people do it because they do not want a device like a PC or a tablet to get in the way, others do it because writing helps them make sense of the information and better retain it.

Whatever the reason, it is obvious that one could make an argument for being able to capture a thought or a piece of information with the device that is always in your pocket. This is why adding Pencil support for iPhone makes a lot of sense to me. But of course it cannot be the Pencil that we know today as carrying that with an iPhone does not make a lot of sense given its size. Something to scale that would fit in a case rather then the actual iPhone would be much more convenient and drive more regular use.

So, what would Steve Jobs say if Apple did actually do an iPhone Pencil? Probably that creating something to enhance your user experience is very different from creating something to help you cope with it!

News You might have missed: Week of August 18th, 2017

Skype Desktop Preview

After launching an updated for mobile, Skype gets a face lift for PC and Mac. For non-Windows 10 users, the experience is similar to the mobile one but it takes advantage of the larger screen. Group chats, calls and screen and photo sharing in real-time are some of the areas that deliver an improved experience. Message reactions, mentions, and a notification panel have been added to provide more information about your activity.

Via Microsoft Blog

  • A modern design that better reflects how people communicate today. A much-needed revamp.
  • The biggest challenge will be to change people’s perception about Skype, to make it a one stop shop for communication.
  • Such a challenge is particularly true for younger users, especially on mobile.
  • This attempt to relate more to Millennials and Gen Z risks alienating older users who appreciated the single focus and simple UI Skype offered. While the UI remains simple and engaging, it could be quite overwhelming to see all the new functionalities.
  • There is opportunity in emerging markets, particularly on mobile as Skype has strong engagement already

HMD Global moved into the high-end with its new Nokia 8 Smartphone

On Wed, in London, HMD Global the Finnish company that sells phones under the Nokia brand launched its first high-end smartphone the Nokia 8. HMD brought back ZEISS to the Nokia brand and focused on millennials and their sweet obsession with social media and video/streaming sharing. The dual camera on the Nokia 8 allows you to simultaneously use the rear and front camera to stream your video. This feature is called Dual-Sight and HMD coined the new term #bothie.

The rest of the phone ticks all the boxes for a high-end Android phone competing with Motorola on the “pure Android” experience. No plans to bring the phone to the US or China yet.

Via hmdglobal.com

  • Different thinking that might actually appeal to Millennials although at 599 Euros it might need some help from carriers
  • There are plenty of countries in Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia that still value the Nokia brand.
  • It is interesting that the Nokia 8 will not go to China at least for now as the Nokia 6 had good success with flash sales. HMD might feel that the Nokia brand is more of a differentiator at lower price points against local Chinese brands than in the high-end against Apple, Huawei and to a lesser extent Samsung.
  • Given HMD collaboration with Amazon in India, I would not be surprized to see the Nokia 8 landing on Amazon.com in the near future as long as production is not an issue. The Nokia 6 is currently available on Amazon.com for just over $200
  • Yet, despite the brand remaining strong in some countries, competition in the high-end is hard especially considering the marketing budget Apple, Samsung and Huawei have at their disposal.

Apple’s $1 million donations to the Southern Poverty Law Center and the Anti-Defamation League.

On Wednesday following the tragic incidents in Charlottesville, Tim Cook sent a memo to Apple’s employees in which he stated his disagreement with the president and anybody else that sees Nazis and white supremacists the same as the people who oppose them while standing up for human rights. He added that Apple will be giving $1 million each to the Southern Poverty Law Center and the Anti-Defamation League. We will also match two-for-one our employees’ donations to these and several other human rights groups, between now and September 30.

Earlier in the week, Apple cut off Apple Pay support for a number of websites that sold Nazis and white pride articles. PayPal had done the same the day before.

Via BuzzFeed 

  • It matters that tech CEOs are vocal about social issues and making a practical gesture like this is even more important
  • I believe Tim Cook is one of the most genuine CEOs when it comes to social justice issues and I think this is a trait that Apple’s employees are happy to rally behind
  • Cook might not have the charisma Jobs had, but his moral high ground is charming people and turning Apple is a more “human” brand

Essential Phone pre orders open at Sprint

Sprint is offering the Essential Phone at a $260 discount for subscribers who pre-order the device which will be shipping by August 28. Only black models available for now. Essential had announced earlier in the week that the white model was delayed and was offering customers who preordered the option to switch to black.

Via THE VERGE

  • Issues seem to continue for Andy Rubin’s Essential Phone that arrives with over two months delay
  • The 360 camera it sports is now also available from Motorola while in a different implementation. Based on the demos Rubin gave at his recode interview and my experience with the Moto 360 Mod the UI seems much better with the Moto Z
  • After such a delay in getting to market, the Essential Phone really needs to live up to its promise. Failing to do that is going to limit sales but more importantly, it will negatively impact Rubin’s reputation and any trust in future products

 

 

 

 

 

News You might have missed: Week of August 11th, 2017

Consumer Reports pulls recommendation for Microsoft Surface laptops

Consumer Reports based its decision on the results of an annual subscriber survey about the products such people own and use. It estimates Microsoft’s laptops and tablets will experience breakage rates of 25% within two years of ownership, loosely defined as any issue that comes up that prevents the computer from working as the owner expects. As a result, Consumer Reports added that it couldn’t currently recommend any other Microsoft laptops or tablets, including the latest Surface Pro model that was introduced in June.

Via USA Today

  • The methodology of this report leaves a few questions unanswered starting with how large the sample of actual Surface users was.
  • Given the sample is based on consumers I would have to assume the numbers are quite small.
  • Considering the question focused on the specific period of “within 2 years” one would assume that the devices used for reference here are older than a Surface Pro 4 and probably not including many Surface Books.
  • If I am correct in my assumptions of which models are part of the sample and I look at the most aggressively priced Surfaces, Surface RT and Surface 3 could make up a large proportion of this sample.
  • While the assessment of those specific products might be correct it is certainly not a reflection of Surface current line up.

YouTube CEO Susan Wojicicki has the perfect response to the Googler memo

Ms. Woijicicki had to answer a difficult question from her daughter: “Mom, is it true that there are biological reasons why there are fewer women in tech and leadership? And she said: “I thought about all of this, looked at my daughter and answered simply. No, it’s not true.”

Via Fortune 

  • I found this short but pointed article perfectly spot on. A great summary of what many women face in the workplace both in Silicon Valley and outside.
  • Freedom of expression does not mean that a company should ignore stances that perpetuate negative stereotypes on any group of people based on their gender, race, religion or sexual orientation.
  • Freedom of speech means that YouTube CEO can express her opinion on the memo while her company airs Damore’s first interview granted to alt-right YouTube personality Stefan Molyneux.

Snap Q2 earnings

Snaps revenue hit $181.7 million vs. $ 189 million that was expected and 173 million daily active users vs. 175 million expected. The number of daily Snap users only increased by 7 million from the first quarter but analysts’ expectations were for 10 million. Average revenue per user for the quarter grew to $1.05 from $0.50 year on year. Around 81% of Snap’s second-quarter revenue came from North America. Spectacles sales dropped.

Via Snap

  • Snap seems to be suffering from a slower than expected growth in international markets coupled with increased competition in its largest market, North America.
  • Spectacles sales were down over Q1 raising questions about their long term relevance. While they do a great job for holidays and special occasions they are something you need to remember to carry with you. I am certainly not the right demographic, but, I found that I have been leaving them home more and more as the novelty wears off.
  • CEO Evan Spiegel gave a shout out to “Our dancing hot dog is likely the world’s first augmented reality superstar.” My big question is whether Snap will be able to keep up with the pace of innovation large companies like Apple and Google will put behind AR.

Uber new in-app chat

Uber is rolling out in-app messaging to allow drivers and riders to communicate without exchanging phone numbers. If you want to contact the driver you select “contact” and then “chat.” This is to avoid exchanging phone numbers when calling. Uber already uses an anonymizing technology to mask phone numbers when you call or text outside the app, so it shows up as a random number. But while that technology is used in the US, it isn’t available in some emerging markets.

Via THE VERGE

  • Considering the many negative stories on Uber as of late and I am referring more to leasing faulty cars rather than the CEO vs. Board saga, I feel that anything to increase the sense of security is a good step.
  • While the idea of chatting without having to share phone numbers is a great one I do wonder how effective that will be in a real life situation. Most of the times when you are contacting the driver is to explain your location and that might not be as easily done via texting.
  • Aside from ease of use the other concern would be the speed of the actual chat client within the app. I am sure I am not alone to have experienced poor refresh and connectivity within the app just when tracking the car or even receiving the final score card at the end of the trip.

Disney Streaming Service

As part of its announcement on Tuesday, Disney said that it would spend heavily on original programming for its entertainment streaming service and pull future Disney and Pixar movies from Netflix. Disney has not yet decided whether to pull its Marvel or “Star Wars” movies from Netflix. The streaming plans start with the introduction early next year of a subscription service to be built around ESPN’s sports programming. It will be powered by BamTech, a technology company that handles direct-to-consumer video for baseball teams and HBO, among others. Disney paid $1 billion a year ago for a 33 percent stake in BamTech.

Via New York Times 

  • Netflix seemed the biggest loser in this announcement, however, even with Disney pulling all its content the value proposition for the kids’ audience remains strong as the Disney content is a small portion of the Netflix offering.
  • In order to appeal to a broad audience, Disney will have to invest a lot in original content in my view. What Disney will distribute through cable and what they will distribute via their streaming service will require a delicate balance. While cable revenue might be in decline it still represents a sizable chunk that cannot be jeopardized before the alternative source is solid.
  • I am curious to see if Disney is entertaining the possibility of distributing early on their streaming service some of the movies available in cinemas. This is an idea that Apple was toying which but an idea that faced a lot of negative feedback from cinemas due to the potential loss of revenue from concessions. Disney might have better luck with it.

Samsung’s Users are Ready for the Galaxy Note8 and so is Samsung!

Last week I was in Korea to experience a new direct-lit LED Cinema Screen recently launched at a Lotte Cinema in Seoul. While I was there I had the chance to sit down with the President of Samsung Electronics Mobile Communications,  D.J. Koh, and CMO Younghee Lee to talk broadly about Samsung’s future. The focus was on what they learned from the Galaxy Note7 (Note7) issues and how committed they are in regaining the trust of the millions of Samsung users out there.

What Happened Since the Galaxy Note7 Recall

Back in January, Samsung held a press conference in Korea detailing what caused the Note7 incidents as well as what steps Samsung was taking in making sure there would be no risks for the future.  During the press conference, Mr. Koh and executives from UL, Exponent and TUV Rheinland, who lead an independent investigation into various aspects of the Note7 incidents explained that in both cases the short circuit was caused by a damage to the separator that keeps the positive and negative electrodes from meeting with the jellyroll. In the case of battery A, the tip of the negative electrode was incorrectly located in the curve of the device. In the case of battery B, the high-welding burrs 0n the positive electrode resulted in the penetration of the insulation tape causing direct contact of the positive tab with the negative electrode.

Since then, Samsung implemented multi-layer Safety Measures that improved safety standards for the materials in battery design, added brackets around battery protection and improved algorithms that regulate battery charging.

Samsung also collaborated with the MIT Technology Review on a white paper that was published last week. The report shared more insights into the new 8-Point Battery Safety Check Samsung started implementing with the Galaxy S8 and S8+.

There is no doubt that Samsung went far and beyond the call of duty with this new process, with a goal of sharing its finding with the broader industry. While initial communication around the recall could be faulted, the rigor of the investigation and the follow-up steps taken cannot. Samsung has tried to be very transparent about how it can work to avoid another incident and also how to be better prepared in case something might happen again. Catching the issue at production is almost as important as avoiding the issue in the first place.

Samsung Smartphone Owners are Ready for the Note8

No matter what Samsung says and does though, at the end of the day, what really matters is neither the reports reassuring everything is under control nor the press articles still referring to the Note7 explosions. What will make a difference to Samsung Galaxy Note8 sales rests in the confidence consumers still have in the brand.

This week, SurveyMonkey Audience released the results of a study they conducted among 1000 US consumers to gather their interest in the upcoming smartphone as well as their view of the Samsung brand.

I will focus my analysis on Samsung current owners vs. overall smartphones owners because the Note family has not been a mainstream device. Its large screen size and pen input were not for everyone and certainly not a device than in the past generated a lot of churn from iPhone.

So, how do current Samsung owners feel about the brand?

Brand loyalty remains strong, as current owners are either extremely likely (47%) or very likely (34%) to consider Samsung when it is time to replace their current device.

Awareness of the upcoming Note8 release is good across all smartphone users interviewed with only 38% saying they have not heard about it. As you would expect, awareness among Samsung current owners is much higher with 25% saying they like to keep up with the latest news relating to Samsung devices and another 46% saying they heard about the Note8 but they don’t know much about it.

When it comes to the most interesting features rumored to be coming with the new model, 70% of Samsung current owners are most interested in the phone being waterproof, 35% in the dual camera and another 35% in the Fingerprint scanner.

For current Samsung owners, the top three most appealing reasons they would consider a Note8 are Features (52%), Reliability (50%), and Large Screen Size (38%). These data points underline that the Note as a device family has been seen by Samsung users as the flagship product. The Note7, in particular, with its strong feature set really helped to broaden the appeal to a wider audience outside of the large screen lovers. Reliability, as the second most wanted feature, does not seem to signal much concern that what happened with the Note7 might repeat with its successor.

If this were not enough of an indicator, when current Samsung smartphone owners were asked if they would consider buying a Note8 in the aftermath of last year’s recall, 45% said yes and 37% says maybe leaving only 18% saying no. Among the rejecters, the strongest reasons for lack of consideration is the high cost (31%) while the issues with the Note7 impact intention for another 28%.

Interestingly, most concerns seem to vanish when cost is not an issue. When current Samsung smartphone owners who said they would not consider buying the Note8 were asked if they would use a Note8 if it were free, 66% said they would and another 27% said maybe while only 7% said they would not.

Note Owners are Samsung’s Fiercest Fans

When you look at some of the data I just shared, but narrow it down to Note7 owners, the loyalty to the Samsung brand and the passion for the product comes across very strongly. Although the base size in the sample is more limited compared to the other cohorts, I think this data gives a good indication of how this segment behaves.

Note7 owners still think very highly of Samsung with 37% saying they find the brand extremely reliable and another 43% saying it is very reliable. When it comes to their next phone 43% are extremely likely to consider a Samsung device and another 30% are very likely.

It will come as no surprise to see that only 20% of the current Note7 owners have not heard about the Note8. What is very interesting is to see that 63% of Note7 owners would consider buying a Note8 and another 24 would maybe consider it.

The Note7 recall did, however, shake its owners’ loyalty somewhat, as you would expect with all the publicity the incidents drew. When it comes to the three most appealing reasons for considering a Note8, features comes first at 52% and a better camera comes second at 59% followed by a large screen size at 43%. Reliability, that came second among overall Samsung owners, drops to fourth place at 33% among Note7 owners. This to me shows a somewhat coy stand on the Note brand but one that does not reflect on the overall brand and certainly not on the overall benefits users see with this device.

Ultimately sales will tell if Samsung is really over the Note7 incident but the signs leading up to the launch and the performance of the Galaxy S8 thus far seem to indicate that it is the case.

What You might have missed: Week of August 4th, 2017

Tablet 2Q17 Sales see Strong Huawei Growth

According to a report published this week by Strategy Analytics, global tablet shipments dropped 7% year-on-year reaching 43.8 million units.

Huawei showed the strongest growth with shipments reaching 3.2 million units up 42% over the same period last year. While these are very encouraging numbers they are also sales into the channel which means that they are not necessarily sold to final customers yet. As Huawei is still building a presence in the channel I would not be surprised to see some of this volume being inventory. The star of Huawei’s portfolio is the MediaPad 3 focused on music and millennials, it is priced very aggressively. It will be interesting to see how Huawei will balance the desire for volume that this kind of product can bring vs. the new line of PCs running Windows that the Chinese manufacturer has been focusing on of late. Other players such as Lenovo have already shifted their focus more to 2in1s running Windows as the Android opportunity was turning into a race to the bottom for both prices and profits.

The other success story during the quarter was Apple. iPad shipments grew 15%. During Apple’s earnings call on Tuesday, Tim Cook specifically mentioned education as a segment that helped iPad sales.  He called out Saint Paul Public Schools district in Minnesota, which deployed 40,000 iPads for its 1:1 program and the Shawnee Mission School District outside Kansas City, which bought 19,000 iPads.

Cook also added that the new Swift Playground app and the coding tools available are getting students excited. He said: “We’re thrilled that over 1.2 million students of all ages are now using iPad and Swift Playgrounds to learn the fundamentals of coding, and over 1,000 K-12 schools across the United States plan to use Apple’s ‘Everyone Can Code’ in their curricula this fall.”

While some pointed out that the new cheaper 9.7” iPad was largely to thank for the growth in sales, the average selling price tells a different story. Average ASP remained, in fact, was flat at $435. This would indicate that even if the new 9.7” model was popular, Apple sold enough of the new 10.5” and 12” iPad Pro models to favorably impact pricing.

Back to school will be a very interesting time to check if iPad Pro models can replace the MacBook Air for college students. The competition will be particularly hot this year as Microsoft added Surface Laptop to its lineup.

Amazon’s Fire sales continue to suffer from the lack of international appeal and I do not see this changing any time soon. “Others” is also in decline, as Android is no longer seen as a viable option. Like in the wearable market, Android is a race to the bottom, a game most PC vendors are just not interested in playing.

Surface Plus

This week, Microsoft announced Surface Plus and Surface Plus for Business, a new leasing program to open the opportunity to own a Surface to a larger audience. Surface Plus is available in the US only either through Microsoft.com or at the Microsoft Stores and it comes just in time for back to school.

Surface Plus offers:

  • Low monthly payments: Customers can purchase a Surface device with an easy, 24-month payment plan at 0% APR.1
  • Device upgrades: Customers can upgrade to the latest Surface after just 18 months.2
  • Dedicated Service & Support: Surface Plus offers best in class service and support from Microsoft Stores. Customers also have the option to add the Microsoft Complete extended service plan.
  • Microsoft Store benefits: All customers who shop at Microsoft Store enjoy access to benefits like a 30-day hassle free return policy, a Surface training and health check as well as a year of free in-store support and technical assistance.

PC as a service is certainly not new, but other PC manufacturers have mostly focused on businesses, not consumers. I mentioned in my Wednesday column that more could be done to drive buzz around the stores to show off the Surface portfolio. While I do not think price has been the key hurdle for Surface, the leasing option will certainly help especially with the 18-month upgrade. This move in the consumer market is perfectly timed as more and more smartphone buyers are choosing leasing options with regular upgrades. Their level of confidence, therefore, in leasing vs buying technology is growing. This is not of course for consumers who have been hanging on to their five-year-old PC but for consumers who want to future-proof their computing experience. I see this targeting the early mainstream segment. A segment that we see as tech savvy users with some disposable income limitations is a sizable chunk, representing between 15 to 20 percent of the overall CE consumer market.

For small and medium enterprises, Surface Plus for Business replaces the Surface membership and offers:

  • Multiple Surface models: Customers can add as many devices as they want into a single agreement and can have a mix of models across the Surface portfolio. This includes the Surface Studio, Surface Hub, and Surface Laptop
  • The latest devices: Previously unavailable, customers can now finance a 55” Surface Hub in addition to the new Surface Pro, Surface Laptop, Surface Book, and Surface Studio to unlock the power of the group in their businesses.
  • Office 365 for Business:. For an additional $8.25 per user per month, businesses can enjoy the ultimate productivity experience on Surface.
  • Flexible Terms3. Businesses can choose flexible 18, 24 or 30 month periods, with the ability to upgrade devices after just 12 months on the 18-month term (or after 18 months on the 24-month term). Businesses can also expand or reduce their device fleet mid-term.*
  • Device Protection: Surface Plus for Business offers peace of mind with the Microsoft Complete for Business extended service plan with accidental damage protection.

This is available for customers in the U.S. via a store or online

Strengthening their PC as a service offering adds, even more, credibility to Microsoft as an enterprise supplier. I see the addition of Surface Hub, in particular, to be very appealing to enterprises especially as millennials and their highly collaborative working practices move into the workplace.

Microsoft Stores are a Big Missed Opportunity

The latest Microsoft earnings results were a stark reminder that the consumer market makes only a marginal contribution to the overall revenue. Many believe consumers are not a priority for Microsoft and struggle therefore to understand the role of the Microsoft stores. Microsoft should admit they were an experiment. An experiment that failed and that it’s time to close them.

I believe it would be a mistake.

I also believe Microsoft does care about consumers; it just struggles to show it, especially when it comes to apps and services.

Microsoft is the exact opposite of Apple in the balance between enterprise and consumer. Apple goes out of its way not to come across as an enterprise company while Microsoft goes out of its way to always put enterprises first. In reality, both companies care about both markets and, more importantly, both companies need both markets!

When it comes to their retail presence, the two companies share similar goals. While it is not something Microsoft would admit to, creating an Apple store experience was the goal when they first opened their stores. Any tech company looking to have a retail presence should have Apple as a benchmark.

Aside from the short period when John Browett ran Apple’s retail business, Apple’s stores have always been about using great customer care to enhance brand loyalty. Apple stores are without a doubt one of Apple’s strong marketing assets aside from a solid revenue generator. People go into the stores to experience new devices, seek help with the ones they own and learn how to get the most out of them. Exchanges that I have often witnessed in stores, both in the US and in the UK where I lived, have been of customers met with knowledgeable and invested employees who made each customer feel they cared.

Microsoft has failed thus far to create an in store experience that is helping its brand. Calling it quit now, however, would be the wrong thing to do. Microsoft has never had this much to offer to consumers from an end to end experience. This need to experience – not try before you buy but truly experience – will grow with ambient computing, making a store presence even more valuable.

A Showcase for the Surface Portfolio and Microsoft Apps

Microsoft now has a full portfolio of Surface products that can be experienced in store. On display are not just the products but the vision that Microsoft has of modern computing. From Surface Pro to Surface Book, to Surface Laptop and the more aspirational Surface Studio and Surface Hub all help to tell that story. I was in a store with my daughter recently for a coding camp and seeing how the kids were drawn to the Hub made me wonder why there were not more people in the store doing just that. I am sure there are differences in locations as far as how busy the stores are, but more of a push around devices and experiences could certainly create more buzz.

Back in 2015, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said: “we want people to love Windows 10 not just use it.” The same should be said about all Microsoft products including the stores.

Activities in stores have been growing. I have seen more emphasis around STEM as part of the recent education push including Minecraft coding. Yet, more could be done around new apps like Story Remix, or People, or Paint 3D. Stores should have classes to learn how to use these apps, have people in stores using them as customers come in and have them try. This kind of activities will help create a different atmosphere in the store and educate potential customers. It would also help consumers to think more broadly about Microsoft.

Discoverability of new Windows 10 features remains an issue, especially for those consumers who upgraded to it on their old computers. Seeing what is possible might generate an upgrade opportunity and one that will benefit Surface. Surface Pro sales have been growing steadily in the enterprise market but not as much as they could in the consumer one. While many point to cost as an inhibitor, the real issue is the lack of visibility. Many other PC manufacturers have devices at similar price points, and of course Apple does too, so, clearly, there is a consumer market for Surface as well if mass market consumers knew more about it.

A Look to the Future to build Love for the Brand Today

Microsoft is no longer limited to Windows on PCs, and while Cloud and Office365 might be the biggest revenue generators, there are other products that will define the future of computing.

HoloLens stands out.

Enterprises are very interested in HoloLens as there are many applications that can save cost, increase productivity and enrich experiences. Yet, HoloLens has many consumers applications too which could generate reinvigorate the in-store experience. Think about Holographic Minecraft or a walk on Mars. I realize this is still a device that has limited availability and Microsoft might have concerns about dumbing down the experience making it feel like a VR park. Yet, there are opportunities to offer targeted events, limited in numbers that consumers could sign up to.

Microsoft effort to democratize 3D could be another area of focus with classes targeted on developing an object with Paint 3D and then printing it. Again, I realize the delicate balance between creating a buzz and creating a circus, but right now stores have very little buzz.

The big point about Apple stores is that they are first and foremost great experience centers. Microsoft stores feel more like a cross between an IT support center and a Best Buy where I go to buy as a last resort. I go in and get out as quickly as I can. My experience is that Microsoft stores staff is there to sell not to guide me and facilitate my discovery of what Microsoft has to offer.

Creativity is the new productivity is a great slogan for Windows and Microsoft should really look at becoming more creative when it comes to the stores.

Microsoft must deliver a consistent experience across stores focused on a shift from serving customers in a transactional exchange to facilitating customers’ experiences. This might require a change in how stores are evaluated and rewarded. Revenue should not be the short term focus but rather brand awareness and advocacy which in turn will bring increased revenues over time.

Job Posting: Digital Assistant Wanted

This week, Apple debuted a new ad centered around Siri and starring actor Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson. In “The Rock x Siri Dominate the Day,” Johnson uses Siri, to take on even more in his busy schedule – from reviewing his life goals to helping him navigate the globe to pursue his many interests, to taking selfies in outer space. The ad is fun and it might help some iOS users try new things with Siri, although I am pretty sure nobody will try a selfie from outer space! Overall though, the ad is an attempt to make Siri sexy as Apple prepares to bring HomePod to market later in the year.

In my short but very exciting Twitter exchange with “The Rock”, he suggested I should watch the ad before jumping into my column for this week.

Watching the ad made me reflect, once again, on how much more work there is to be done both from the technology side and on the users’ acceptance side. I started thinking about what I would be looking for if I were interviewing to hire the perfect digital assistant.

Job Description

I am a busy working mom looking for a full-time digital assistant who could help me breeze through my day as if I were in total control, having a world of fun with my family yet not missing a beat at work. Most of all, I need a digital assistant that gets a lot done for me while making me feel I am doing it all on my own!

This job is not for the fainthearted! It’s a 24/7 position where you should not expect any please and thank yous. Some cross-room shouting might occur and you will be entitled to zero days off!

I have:

  • A tech related job that has me use several devices running on different operating systems. In an ideal world, once I pick my assistant, it would be easier for her/him if all my devices and services were linked to a single ecosystem. Unfortunately, this is not a likely reality, as technology will be more and more pervasive reaching into devices that in the past have not been connected making it difficult if not impossible to just stick with one ecosystem. Job requirements aside, I believe in being able to pick the best in class experience across what is available, which at times means to mix and match devices and ecosystems. Let’s be honest, it is also quite unlikely that one single assistant will be able to address all my needs! So, I expect whoever I employ for the main job to play nice with any other assistant I might also interact with. Over time, I am open, however, to just rely on you for all my needs if the experience you deliver were to be notably superior.
  • A busy and unpredictable schedule. My day to day schedule is quite busy and unpredictable, yet tends to be well documented in my calendar. I travel a lot for work which means I will need your help at different times and in different locations. While on the road, I will still need to be able to be in touch with what is going on at home and I might need you to lend your services to my family members. Likely locations where you will be expected to work: home, office, car, coffee shops, planes, and hotels. How I interact with you will vary depending on location and time. As voice might not be the most efficient and most private way to communicate at all times, I expect you to dynamically adapt your communication method to best fit the occasion.
  • A need to be always on. As I come to rely on you, I am afraid you will not be able to have any time off. I would also expect you to respond to any member of my family knowing they are not me and therefore they do not have access to all my work information and they have a different set of needs and preferences. As far as you are concerned, they are as important as I am. I will help you figure out who has access to what but when in doubt please ask. Also, please be considerate of their digital assistants.

You have:

  • High confidence and accuracy. Don’t doubt yourself and don’t make excuses. If you are not sure about the instructions I have given you make some suggestions to the best of your ability. There is nothing I hate more than hearing: “Sorry I cannot help with that yet!” If you want me to trust you, accuracy is paramount. I will be an open book to you, so you will have plenty of information to get it right. If I ask you to do something a couple of times and you get it wrong, I will not ask you again. Repeat that a few times and I will have to let you go for good. Your profession is a trendy one and there are plenty of digital assistants out there waiting to be hired!
  • Good conversation skills. Let’s be clear, I am not your old boss. So whatever you might be used to, you will have to adapt to me. I do not want to learn a new set of commands for you, I also do not expect to repeat myself every time I talk to you. Nor do I want to give you information that you should already be aware of from previous interactions or data you have access to. Read between the lines!
  • Eagerness to learn and grow. Never stop learning and using what you know to do your job the best you can. I am more than happy to invest time in teaching you about me. I understand this is the only way to start on the right foot. But please don’t waste my time! You are supposed to be a smart assistant, so be smart! Don’t just store information, use it, connect the dots.
  • A flexible and proactive nature. Being proactive is the key to a reciprocally beneficial collaboration. Use what you know about me, my schedule, my preferences, my likes and dislikes to be always two steps ahead of me so you can save me time, make me efficient and productive for the things I must do so I have time for the things I want to do.
  • Consistency and reliability. If I teach you something please remember that and use it consistently across devices. I hired you to save me time not to create more work for me. I expect you to show up every time I need you. If you deliver on the promise of a digital assistant I will become so dependent on you that you will have a job for life.

You might also have:

  • A sense of humor and a personality. While we do not have to be best friends and we can keep our relationship solely professional, I strongly believe that a sense of humor would help us both get through the day. I also believe that life without sarcasm is not worth living, so I am happy to receive as much as I dish out!

If interested, please apply below and we can discuss compensation and benefits!

How will Our Screen Addiction Change?

A Nielsen Company audience report published in 2016 revealed that American adults devoted about 10 hours and 39 minutes each day to consuming media during the first quarter of 2016. This was an increase of exactly an hour recorded over the same period of 2015. Of those 10 hours, about 4½ hours a day are spent watching shows and movies.

During the same year, the Deloitte Global Mobile Consumer Survey showed that 40% of consumers check their phones within five minutes of waking up and another 30% checks them five minutes before going to sleep. On average we check our phones about 47 times a day, the number grows to 82 times if you are in the 18-24 age bracket. In aggregate, the US consumers check their phones more than 9 billion times per day.

Any way you look at it, we are totally addicted to screens of any form, size, and shape.

While communication remains the primary reason we stare at our screens there are also tasks such as reading books or documents, playing card or board games, drawing and writing that we used to perform in an analog way that are now digital. And, of course, there is content consumption. All adding up to us spending more time interacting with some form of computing device than with our fellow human beings in real life.

I see three big technology trends in development today that could shape the future of our screen addiction in very different ways: ambient computing, Virtual Reality and Augmented Reality.

Ambient Computing: the Detox

Ambient computing is the experience born from a series of devices working together to collect inputs and deliver outputs. It is a more invisible computer interaction facilitated by the many sensors that surround us and empowered by a voice-first interface. The first steps of ambient computing are seen in connected homes where wearables devices function as authentication devices to enable experiences such as turning the lights on or off or granting access to buildings or information. The combination of sensors, artificial intelligence, and big data will allow connected and smart machines to be much more proactive in delivering what we need or want. This, in turn, will reduce our requirements to access a screen to input or visualize information. Screens will become more a complement to our computing experience rather than the core of it.

In order to have a feel for how this might impact average screen time, think about what a device such as a smartwatch does today. While a screen is still involved, it is much smaller and it shows the most important and valuable information to you without drawing you into the device. I often talk about my Apple Watch as the device that helps me manage my addiction. It allows me to be on top of things, without turning each interaction into a 20-minute screen soak. Another example is the interaction you might have with Google Home or Alexa when you inquire about something. Today, for instance, I asked for the definition of “cabana” as my daughter wanted to know. I got what I needed in less than 30 seconds: “a cabin, hut, or shelter, especially one at a beach or swimming pool.” Had she gone on Google Search to find the definition, I guarantee it would have taken a good 10 minutes between reading through the results and looking at pictures, with the effectiveness of the search not being any better because of the screen.

While not a total cure, ambient computing could provide a good detox program that will allow us to let go of some screen time without letting go of our control.

Virtual Reality: the Ultimate Screen Addiction

Virtual Reality is at the total opposite spectrum of Ambient Computing as it offers the ability to lose yourself in the ultimate screen experience. While we tend not to talk about VR as a screen the reality is that, whatever experience you are having, it is still delivered through a screen. A screen that rather than being on your desk, on your wall, or in your hand is on your face through a set of glasses of various shapes.

I don’t expect VR to be something we turn to for long period of times, but if we have ever complained about our kids or spouses having selective hearing when they are gaming or watching sports we got another thing coming!

There are talks about VR experiences that are shared with friends but if multiplayer games are something to go by, I am expecting those “share with friends moments” to be a minor part of the time you will spend in VR. With VR being so much more immersive I think the potential to be in an experience with someone you do not know like you do with traditional gaming, might be a little more involved and overwhelming. Coordinating with actual friends might require too much effort worth making if you are experiencing a music or sports event but maybe not so much if you are just playing a game.

Escapism will be the biggest drive for consumer VR which is the biggest reason for wanting to be cut off from reality.


Augmented Reality: the Key to Rediscovery

Augmented Reality is going to be big, no question about it. Now that Apple will make it available overnight to millions of iPhones and iPads as iOS 11 rolls out, consumers will be exposed and engaged with it.

What I find interesting is the opportunity that AR has to reconnect us to the world around us. If you think about the big excitement around Pokemon Go was that people went outside, walked around, exercised. Because humans do not seem to be able to do anything in moderation, that feel good factor vanished quickly as people were paying more attention to the little creatures than to where they were going culminating in incidents of trespassing, injuries, and fights!

That said, I strongly believe that there are many areas that AR can help with in our rediscovery of the world around us from education, to travel, to nature. Think about Google Translate and how it helps lower the barrier of entry to travel in countries where you do not speak the language.

The trick will be not to position the AR experience as the only experience you want to have. AR should fuel an interest to do more, discover more, experience more.

Of course, developers and ecosystem owners are driven by revenue rather than the greater good of humanity. Yet, I feel that lately the level of concerns around the impact technology is having on our social and emotional skills is growing enough to spur enough interest to drive change.

Ultimately, I believe that our addiction to screens is driven by a long list of wrong reasons. Our obsession feeds off our boredom, our feeling that idle time is unproductive time, and the false sense of safety of connecting to others through a device rather than in person. New technologies will offer the opportunity to change if we really want to.

It is not Women in Tech, it is Women in Business We Should talk About

I have been thinking about writing something on women in tech and what we have been witnessing over the past few months and I had resisted thus far. Last week, however, as I was a guest on the DownloadFM podcast I was asked my opinion about the many stories we have read in the press concerning childish CEO behavior and continued allegations of sexual harassment, starting from Uber to 500 Startups, and I could no longer shy away. After all, I am in tech, I am a woman, and I have an opinion on the topic.

We expect more from Men in Tech

Women face discrimination, chauvinism, and harassment in pretty much any business they are in. For some reason, however, I think the disbelief around some of the stories that have emerged in tech comes from assuming that men in tech would be different, evolved, better. Better than the men who run Wall Street and I better than the men on Capitol Hill. That hope is buoyed by the fact that men in tech are by and large well-educated, well-travelled, they are entrusted with building our future. Men in tech are also by and large white and entitled and often with poor social skills when it comes to women. Of course, there are exceptions, but they are, alas, exceptions.

You start to believe it is You, not Them

I have been a tech analyst for 17 years, and while I have seen more women in tech, I still get excited when there is a line for the ladies’ bathroom at a tech conference. I still pay attention to how long it takes for a woman to be on stage at those tech conferences. And while it seems that all the big corporations have increased the number of women on stage, if you pay attention, you notice, that most of those women on stage are performing demos and they are not upper management.

When I got pregnant with my daughter, female as well as male colleagues, told me that my priorities would change and I would not work as hard. I was expecting it from my male colleagues, but it was disappointing to hear from my fellow female colleagues that it was expected of me to want to do less. The implication of course, if I did not feel that way, was that I was a bad mother.

In many occasions, I was told I was emotional; I was asked if it was that time of the month; I was told to grow a pair. In meetings, I have been interrupted and talked over by endless male colleagues, mistaken for my colleague’s secretary and right out ignored after making the mistake to serve coffee to meeting guests. At the start of the smartphone market, I was handed over pink phones with a lipstick mirror. I’d love to ask Walt Mossberg if he ever reviewed one of those! On Twitter for complementing an actor’s launch of a tech product, I was told I was “throwing my knickers” at him. I have been the token woman on tech panels, and I was invited as a guest on a radio show because “the audience responds better to women talking tech.” And the list goes on.

Things like this happen all the time to many women. They happen so often that you start to think it is the norm, or that you are reading it wrong and taking it personally. Whether you think it is wrong or not becomes irrelevant though when you consider how hard you worked to get to where you are and how much further you want to go. So, you ignore it, you smile, and move on. You do what Irish reporter Caitriona Perry did in the Oval Office a few weeks ago.

 

Avoiding Discrimination 3.0

If things have not changed up to now why is it important that they do? Why does it matter so much that men in tech must understand enough is enough? Because what is going to happen when everybody in the room looks alike and behaves the same way? And of course, this applies to gender as well as race, religion, politics.

We are at a time when we are training machines to think like us. What a scary thought when it comes to women in business. What will happen when machines consider physical and psychological traits based on the beliefs that dominate society today? What if men, who claim they did not know it is not normal to make advances in work situations train computers to think it is normal too? Will women be negated roles a priory based on the belief that “it’s much more likely to be more talking” if too many women are part of the board? Are we really building a better society if we move from paying a woman by the hour for sexual favors to buying an AI-enabled doll that will respond to its master just the way a male engineer has designed it? What will happen if self-driving cars are taught that a woman is more dispensable than a man when it comes to life and death situations?

We can rejoice at having female emojis with more professions and we should. We should continue to foster STEM among female students but know that just because they can do the job it does not mean they will be given the opportunity to do it. Let’s lean on the strong female role models we have. Let’s be supportive. Let’s have each other’s back. A smart woman said recently that we should not just be happy to be in the room where it happens. We should be sitting at the table and make it happen. So, let’s do that, let’s stop thinking it is us, let’s stop thinking it is normal and let’s get a seat at the table.

Digital Assistants’ Adoption: a Marathon not a Sprint!

What a difference a year makes! Usually a statement we can make when looking at technology adoption. Either because in a year a technology is history or because it has become a vital part of our life. Sadly, when it comes to digital assistants and the interactions consumers are having with them, a year has not made much of a difference at all.

In June 2017, we at Creative Strategies surveyed 1100 US consumers between the age of 18 and 65 and found that penetration when it comes to digital assistants has not grown since our previous survey conducted in May 2016: only 66% of consumers are using one. Among the users 63% use Apple’s Siri regularly, 23% use Google Assistant, and 10% uses Amazon’s Alexa. As to be expected, usage is proportional to the technology savviness of the users so among early tech adopters usage is at 96% and among early mainstream users, it reaches 76%.

The Chicken and Egg Problem

The industry is obsessed about determining who is ahead in artificial intelligence and whose assistant is smarter. Consumers, however, do not seem to be asking much of today’s digital assistants.

Alexa reached 15,000 skills just the other day, and Google Assistant and Siri have been growing in the range of tasks they can perform. Consumers are turning to them to ask the same things as they did last year: searching the internet, setting alarms, playing songs, asking directions and checking the news. What is encouraging, however, is that while searching the internet is still the primary task, all the others have grown in popularity compared to a year ago showing that consumer confidence might be growing.

When I start to dissect the data, however, I do wonder if consumers play it safe and ask each assistant what is a core competence of the supplier or fits the primary use case. So, Google Assistant is used for search and navigation, Alexa is asked to set alarms and play songs, and Siri is asked for directions and to call someone or set a timer.

Still being at the early stages of these relationships, looking for something that we know will end up in a positive exchange is natural. It is also good for confidence building to ask for tasks that we are confident our assistant will get right. It does, however, raise the question of how this is impacting new feature/skill discovery and adoption in the long run and consequently how it will impact the value that brands will see in the return of investment they are making in digital assistants.

The Value Proposition Problem

Consumers who are not using a digital assistant say that they are either more comfortable typing (33% – rejecting voice-first rather than the assistant) or they said they tried a few times but had to repeat themselves (20%) and did not use it again. Force of habit is also damaging digital assistants, as 19% of consumers forget they can use voice even if they know they can. Interestingly, some consumers also think we are getting too lazy while some say they cannot get themselves to actually learn how to use a digital assistant.

Consumers who do use digital assistants regularly seems to be pretty satisfied with their performance with Google Assistant showing the highest percentage of very satisfied users.

Siri users are trailing both Google Assistant and Amazon Alexa when it comes to very satisfied users which to me speaks to why Apple’s decision to make HomePod about music and sound first was the right thing to do.

I have discussed before how I expect Apple to pivot with Siri when HomePod gets to market. We can debate whether or not Siri is lagging in capability compared to Google Assistant and Alexa. What matters is that non-users might think so and current users are not as satisfied as they could be. Apple coming out at WWDC and promising a better Siri for HomePod would not have helped the situation.

28% of consumers we surveyed are interested in a HomePod, and another 16% said they are planning to buy one. These numbers go up considerably with early adopters where 60% say they are very interested and 42% are planning to buy one.

46% of current Siri users are interested in HomePod, and another 29% are planning to buy. Even across consumers in our survey who were unsatisfied with Siri, interest in HomePod is as high as 43% with another 30% who are planning to buy. What grows in this segment is the need to be convinced consumers that Siri will be better. Convinced not promised! 34% said they need to be convinced that Siri has improved before they consider buying HomePod. This number declines to 17% among overall Siri users.

Price is the biggest deterrent as 17% of consumers say HomePod is too expensive. Consumers are not looking at the competition as only 4% would buy and Amazon Echo or a Google Home. Owning a competing device is also not stopping consumers from being interested in HomePod only 4% and 3% said their lack of interest in HomePod is rooted in their contentment level with Amazon Echo and Google Home.

Apple will still have to deliver on Siri, not for HomePod’s sake but for Apple’s sake but promising and delivering on what consumers can understand and easily assess is the same smart move they made with Apple Watch and Fitness. The value that the rest of the device will bring to users will be personal and will grow over time. This strategy is paying off with Watch, and it will do the same with HomePod.

iPad Pro: You do You!

If you insist on looking at iOS 11+iPad Pro=PC you might miss the opportunity for this combo to live up to its full potential. I know for many PCs and Macs are synonymous of work and productivity, therefore my suggestion to start looking at the iPad Pro differently is missed on them. Yet, I promise you, there is a difference between wanting to replicate what you have been doing on a PC and wanting to understand if the iPad Pro can fit your workflow or even if it could help your workflow change to better fit your needs.

I have been using a 9.7” iPad Pro as my main “out of office” device since its launch. I do everything I do on my Mac or PC and some things are easier and some things are a little more painful but by and large, it serves me well.

I upgraded to a 10.5” iPad a couple of weeks ago and it has been business as usual. I enjoy the extra screen real estate and I struggled a little to get adjusted to the larger keyboard as my fingers had a lot of muscle memory in them that was generating typos. I did not use Pencil more despite the fact that, thanks to the new sleeve I was not forgetting it at home as often as I used to.

After 24 hours with iOS 11 and iPad Pro, it became apparent to me that the range of things I could do grew and so did the depth I could reach. These are not necessarily tasks I was performing on my Mac or PC and when they are, they are implemented in a slightly different way as the premise on iPad is touch first.

Let’s take a Step Back

Before I moved to the iPad Pro I had to embrace the cloud. This step was crucial in empowering me to use the best device for the job at any given time. When I travel, mobility trumps everything else. Going through a little pain that a smaller screen and keyboard imply is well worth the advantage of cellular connectivity, instant on, all-day battery and the ability to dump all in one purse.

What does a normal day at the office entail for me? Well usually I engage in most of the following: reading articles, reports, papers and books, writing, social media interactions, listening and recording podcasts, email, messaging, data analysis and creating or reviewing presentations.

I could perform all of those tasks on an iPad Pro as well as on a MacBook and a PC. What differed is which task was best executed on each device. Anything touch first was better on my iPad Pro or on my Surface Pro as was anything that supported pencil or inking. The MacBook Pro and Surface were slightly better with Office apps but mainly because of the larger screen and the better keyboard. The iPad Pro still offered a better balance of work and play thanks to the larger ecosystem and better apps and partly because Surface is held back by a Windows 10 jargon that makes it walk and talk too much like a PC.

iOS 11 Brings Richness to the iPad Pro

This is not a review of iOS 11 so I will not list all that is new with it but I will point to the features and capabilities that iOS 11 offers that struck me as changing the way I work.

Files
Adds freedom to my cloud-first workflow allowing me to live in a multi-cloud provider environment which was possible before but not without any pain.

The New Dock, Slide Over, and Split View
Make for a faster, richer multitasking environment that you appreciate when you always must have your eye on social media or you are creating charts or sieving through data when writing a report.

Drag and Drop
This is possibly the best example of a feature that despite sharing the same name on the Mac is made zillion times better by touch. It turns something that is cumbersome to do with the mouse in something super intuitive.

Instant Markup, Instant Notes, Scan and Sign
Despite still preferring the Surface Pen I finally see myself being able to integrate Pencil in my workflow. I read many reports and I used to print them out and annotate them, highlight them and then take pictures of them so that I would not file them somewhere safe and never see them again. All those steps are now condensed for a much more efficient and equally productive experience. In this case, it is not about being able to do something I was doing on my Mac. It is, instead, the ability to fully digitize a workflow. It also allows Apple to catch up with inking on Surface – and I specify Surface as I have not found another Windows 10 2in1 that offers the same richness of experience.

QuickType Keyboard
I am still not a fan of the physical iPad Pro keyboard. I do not like the texture of the material and the lack of backlight limits the usefulness on planes and in bed, sadly two places where I often work! Because of that, my default has always been the digital keyboard and the new update makes it a breeze to touch type on iPad Pro both for speed and accuracy.

Screen Capture and Screen Record
We have already started to experiment with the video record function to share an interesting chart with some live commentary. This is something we could have done in the past but required specialized apps and a pretty convoluted process. Screen Capture coupled with Instant Markup also offers a new way to interact with content that Samsung Galaxy Note users have already been addicted to.

All new features that will make my work on iPad not just more efficient but more pleasant because it better fits me. I am sure this will result in more time spent on iPad when I am in the office not just when I am on the go.

The Best Tool for the Job

If you think about other technologies innovations there is always a degree of compromise at least for a given period. Think about the clarity of a voice call on a fixed phone vs. a DECT phone and then a cellular one. We were happy to sacrifice quality of sound for the freedom to walk around the home first and always have a phone with us later on. The same can be said about fixed broadband vs. mobile broadband.

I feel though that with computing we are getting to the point of not having to compromise as long as we do not let habits hold us back and we feel empowered to reinvent our workflows. Millennials and Gen Z have the advantage of not suffering from the limitations muscle memory imposes, but there is hope for us old dogs too.

Worrying about installed base has destroyed companies such as Nokia and Blackberry and has held back Microsoft. Apple has had the advantage to have a very loyal and forgiving installed base of users who gave them the benefit of the doubt when they started to experiment with computing. Microsoft has stepped up and with Surface has been able to deliver a richer experience that comes from a deeper integration of software, hardware, and apps. Yet, while the goal of these two giants seems to be very much aligned, I cannot help but wonder if Microsoft decision of going all in with Windows 10 will always hold them back somewhat vs. an Apple that has chosen a two-pronged approach to computing.

For me Surface Pro today is the best productivity device on the market but it’s being held back to be a true creativity device by Windows 10. As a user who wants to both be creative and be productive iPad Pro is the choice for me today. I am, however, keeping my eyes on Windows 10 S as Microsoft’s opportunity to create a two-pronged strategy that frees them of the legacy ball and chain.

Retailers Play a Key Role in the Success of Smart Homes

Connected home products are grabbing floor space and early tech adopters’ attention. Sales are growing, and big brands are investing more and more. But moving from early tech adopters to the mainstream will not just be about lower prices. A better shopping experience is a must when consumers are still confused about what works with what and the overall benefits of a connected home.

Tech savvy consumers know what they want. They have researched the product category, they read tech reviews, they asked friends, and they are happy to purchase online. Tech-savvy buyers are also glad to go through any pain the set-up of a device might bring. They see the pain as part of the process of being early tech users. It’s their duty to pave the way for the masses.

Mainstream consumers, on the other hand, want a pain-free setup and most of all a worry-free purchase experience. In our research into early connected home adoption, mainstream consumers expressed the need to have someone to go to in a store and the peace of mind that if something went wrong, they can bring the device back to the store and talk to a human. In our focus groups, consumers seemed to prefer home-improvement stores to electronic stores mainly because that is how they see these connected devices. A connected bulb is still a bulb!

Sadly though, if you go to a Home Depot or Lowes you are left facing a bunch of connected products lump together on a shelf with very little information on what they do let alone of the experience they can deliver.

It’s about the Experience, not the Specs

Whenever I play mystery shopper, I am faced with a high degree of ignorance on the topic of smart accessories. Most sales assistants know about specs and what is spelled out on the box, but unless you have someone who went through their own set up at home, it is rare to talk about an experience. Yet, I find that when you can envision what a particular device can do for you the sale is much easier.

Last week I moderated a panel on ambient computing at the Target Open House in San Francisco, and I was pleased to see how it had evolved since I first visited it after its grand opening over a year ago. The space gives the ability to potential buyers to see products in a large room called the Playground as well as walk through a living room, a bedroom and a garage to experience some of these in a home context. Target has 500 stores across the country that have smart products displayed in context.

While, as you can expect, the experience is still quite show-roomie, it does attempt to deliver an experience. What I liked is how Target focused on guests’ personality and preferences rather than the products. So, for instance, if you are a sports enthusiast or a music lover they show how your living room can be optimized for your ultimate viewing or listening experience. I think this is interesting as it attempts to put the consumer first rather than the product. In other words, it is about helping you find the products that deliver what you want instead of telling you about products and let you discover how they fit into your life once you get them home.

A few months ago, I spent some time in a model home that was installed with HomeKit compatible products. Needless to say, the experience was pretty compelling as there is nothing more convincing than sitting on what could be your own sofa and open the door to a guest, lower the blinds to have the perfect light to watch TV and set the temperature in the room. Over time this will become the norm for buyers of new homes. I expect you will be able to pick a Siri, Google Assistant, Cortana and Alexa home. For now, however, not every vendor in the market can have a real life home to welcome potential buyers, so store experiences are important. Your average consumer is also not necessarily going to attend a home show where many of these solutions have been showcased this far.

Interestingly, setting up experience rooms is how large TV and projectors are displayed in electronic stores. If you walk into a BestBuy you will quickly find the room with the cinema chairs and the projector or the large screen TV that disappear behind a portrait above the fireplace in front of the couch or the speakers that are disguised as rocks for your patio. Showcasing video and audio solutions in a real-life setting has been done for years, yet showcasing a connected home is not something that retailers are rushing into and I think it is because the opportunity is more limited for them at least for now. It might all boil down to how many connected devices will I need to sell to equal the sale of a $7000 video projector?

Smart Experience Showcases Can Help Retailers and Brands

In this early stage of the connected home, it is not just consumers who need help in buying. Brands too need help in selling. Information on what message resonates with consumers, what features close the deal, what is the job to be done…Retailers can help with that information when they set up a smart environment. Target Open House, for instance, has sensors that connect information on foot traffic, product views and likes, touches on digital screens. Information is collected about sales and direct feedback shared with the team of experts who work in the house, and the information is used to decide what products should be displayed in the Playground area as well as what may make sense to sell at Target stores nationwide. Some of the insights are also shared with companies on the shelf to help them understand how guests are experiencing their products.

Big data is such a trend in tech right now that retailers should start talking more about what kind of data they are prepared to share with brands. This can be a competitive advantage in securing product exclusives, and co-marketing spend.

A Platform for Smaller Brands

The connected home space is benefitting from Amazon, Google and Microsoft, opening up Alexa, Google Assistant and Cortana respectively to be integrated into different ways into apps and devices. While Apps have an easy go to market through apps stores, most device manufacturers still need a distribution channel that is online or in store. Kickstarter and Indigogo can help startups to get to market but once there getting noticed might be harder than they thought.

Target Open House offers startups a stage through their Garage space where a dozen of products at the time are showcased before they get to market. Some of the products that guests are particularly excited about and offer a somewhat unique proposition are then moved to the Playground area and on Target’s shelves.

Other stores should follow in the steps of Target and offer a stage for startups especially if local. A community-feel always speaks to consumers, look at how popular farmers market and farm to table restaurants are!

A Connected Home is not built on One Device Alone

Connected homes in their true sense of home automation are complicated concepts that will take years to develop fully. They are also going to be quite different from one home to another. Some consumers might like to be in a single brand home; others will like to pick best of breed brands in the many areas they will decide to connect. Experiencing that home will matter to all but especially to the ones who will pick and mix. This is why experiencing the best way one can, what how technology changes your home is important. While consumers today think about it regarding home improvement I believe that home design will also play a key role in shaping the connected home. Maybe over time Pottery Barn rather than Home Depot is where consumers will turn.

What can Whole Foods Market do for Amazon?

On Friday Amazon announced it will be buying Whole Foods Market for $13.7bn in cash. The transaction still needs to be approved, of course, and it is supposed to close in the second half of 2017. There is a lot of opportunity in this deal for Amazon and the time was right for Whole Foods to sell.

Whole Foods’ struggle

Back in April the Wall Street Journal highlighted that Whole Foods’ CEO was being pressured to adopt more traditional groceries practices such as loyalty cards and coupons to try and put the brakes on growing competition from grocers that offered organic food at more competitive prices. Whole Foods used to own the organic produce market, but now it is Costco that sells the most. Aside from lower prices on organic produce, competitors such as Sprouts ( an Amazon partner) and Trader Joes on top of adding their own brand to products such as organic pasta, olive oil, organic frozen vegetables also started to offer products that used to be exclusive to Whole Foods.

Brick and mortar competition was not the only worry for Whole Foods. Online shopping through traditional brands and new environmentally friendly brands have also started to chip into Whole Foods dominance. A friend introduced me recently to Imperfect Produce a home delivery subscription of surplus or “ugly” produce. Serving Los Angeles and the Bay Area, Imperfect Produce offers lower costs and the chance to do something to lower food waste which resonates with high-end customers who care about local farms and the environment, especially millennials, a big focus of Whole Foods.

Boosting AmazonFresh and Prime Now

A report on Amazon’s grocery performance released in April showed that sales hit $10 million dollars. After produce and refrigerated dairy, the top-selling categories at AmazonFresh in the first quarter of 2017, in order, were bakery, other refrigerated items, frozen novelties, floral and garden, frozen meals, frozen breakfast foods, frozen vegetables and fruits and frozen desserts. Despite this good growth, AmazonFresh was starting to get competition from Instacart, a startup that has been rolling out its grocery delivery service at incredible speed compared to Amazon. Instacart serves around 40 metropolitan areas nationwide compared to 17 served by AmazonFresh. The speed of service and lower pricing are the drivers behind Instacart that offers a delivery window of as little as an hour compared to the eight-hour window of AmazonFresh. AmazonFresh is a 14.99 monthly subscription while Instacart Express is available from $99 a year depending on location.

Getting access to 462 brick and mortar stores will help AmazonFresh to become more completive on delivery time in key locations. You just need to take a look at the where these stores are located to see that Amazon will get access to very affluent customers 62% of whom, according to Morgan Stanley, are already Prime members. An opportunity for Amazon to grow Fresh within that base as well as expand the base itself reaching that 38% of Whole Foods customers who might be interested in getting groceries delivered but are not currently Prime Members. This is especially true if the Whole Foods branded products stay that way with maybe the addition of “by Amazon.”

Aside from groceries, Whole Foods has a solid offering of Health and Beauty products as well as organic clothing which could have a broad appeal to Amazon’s Prime Members.

The stores could also open up the new opportunity for Amazon for a ready meal delivery service like DoorDash or a cook your own meal delivery service like Blue Apron. Whole Foods has a good selection of ready meals in store today as well as the opportunity to come up with recipe-based hampers for people who enjoy cooking but not having to worry about coming up with the idea of a meal.

Shelf-space for Amazon’s Brands

Brick and mortar presence is, of course, not only about distribution but also about in-store shopping. With Amazon opening up AmazonBooks and Amazon Go stores it is clear that the e-commerce giant also values brick and mortar space. The added Whole Foods locations will offer Amazon the opportunity to showcase more of its own products. And when I say products I do not only mean tech products.

Back in 2014, Amazon launched Amazon Elements which was focused on baby wipes. Despite being only available to Prime Members, the wipes were able to reach a 16% market share making Amazon Elements the third baby wipe brand after Huggies and Pampers.

Since then Amazon has also launched many other brands many of which would fit quite nicely on a Whole Food store shelf. Mama Bear, organic baby food, and Happy Belly nuts, coffee and oil are good examples of such brands.

Amazon has also launched its own clothing brands some of which share Whole Foods’ natural fabric focus.

A Possible Showcase for Amazon’s Devices and Technology

The big question when Amazon unveiled its first Amazon Go in Seattle was how feasible it would be to expand that experience without a brick and mortar presence. While I doubt we will see the full experience of walking in, grab your item and walk out without going through a register, replicated in the Whole Foods stores, there is plenty of opportunities for Amazon to showcase its technology.

One option I thought about is to use the new Dash Wand to help us shop. You could either bring your own if you have one or get one at the store. Either way, it will be associated with your Amazon Prime account so all you will need to do would be scan your items as you put them in your cart and walk out. Waitrose in the UK, a supermarket with a very similar clientele to Whole Foods, had self-checkout scanners already seven years ago.

Another option would be for Alexa to help me navigate my shopping list as well as the store reminding me of which aisle a product I am looking for is. Alexa could also be at self-checkout stations if the Wand idea is not an option!

Possibly the most obvious opportunity is, however, to make my shopping experience much more personal and tailored to my needs thanks to the data that will be available to Amazon of what my overall shopping preferences are. A significant opportunity for AWS to continue to grow behind the scene.

The Risk of Company Culture Differences

Some analysts are already pointing out that Whole Foods and Amazon are just too different to actually make this acquisition successful. The former focused on a more targeted customer pool of higher spending consumers who value quality. The latter focused on excellent customer service, acceptable quality, and the best price.

While I agree with the assessment, it does not mean that the two are mutually exclusive. Customer care is core to both brands, so that is a great starting point. I see the stores and the Whole Food brand offering Amazon an opportunity to drive a more quality experience for its Prime customers. At the same time, I am hoping that prices will come down, so customers will love everything about the shopping experience including the price!

Apple watchOS 4 brings Intelligence to the Wrist

There was a lot unveiled during the Apple WWDC keynote last week and, as to be expected, some of the hotter and bigger products stole the limelight and relegated others to be simply an extra in the over two-hour-long production. watchOS 4 might not have seemed significant, especially to those who have been so eagerly calling Apple Watch a failure, but I saw it as one of the best examples of how Apple sees the future.

The wearable market remains a challenging market for most vendors. According to IDC, sales in the first quarter of 2017 saw Apple and Xiaomi sharing the number one position with volumes of 3.6 million units. While volumes are the same, it is when you look at average selling price (ASP) for these two brands that the real issue with the wearable markets surfaces. Apple controls the high-end of the market and Xiaomi the lower end. In between, Fitbit is losing ground and failing to move ASP up.

Delivering a clear value continues to be key in convincing consumers that wearables have a role to play and for now that value for mainstream consumers remain health and fitness.

There is More Value in a Coach than a Tracker

Since Apple Watch 2, Apple has been focusing on fitness and the release of watchOS 4 builds on it by adding to the Workout app support for the highly popular High-Intensity Interval Training, an autoset for pool swim workouts and the ability to switch and combine multiple workout types.

Apple is also attempting to turn Apple Watch into more of an active coach than a simple tracker. This might seem like a subtle differentiation, but if implemented right it could actually drive engagement and loyalty. Tracking, while clearly useful, has more a passive role and one that some users might think could be taken on by other devices. Turning Apple Watch more into a coach through daily inspiration, evening push and monthly challenges deepens the relationship a user has with the device. Delivering suggestions on how to close the circles, praising the goals achieved thus far and pushing to achieve more can make users feel that Apple Watch is more an active driver of their success which in turns increases the value they see in it.

The new GymKit which allows gym equipment to sync with Apple Watch might take a while to materialize given the required updated hardware roll out by key brands such as LifeFitness, TechnoGym StairMaster, etc. but it makes sure Apple is not losing sight of critical data. Today, some users might just rely on the gym equipment rather than their Apple Watch due to the duplication of functionalities which leaves Apple Watch missing out on valuable data to which Apple and other apps could otherwise have access to. GymKit puts Apple Watch right at the center of our fitness regime. Apple Watch talking to gym equipment via NFC also makes me believe that more devices will come in the future. Think about having your gym membership card or your hotel room card on your watch rather than having to carry a physical card.

Reinforcing the Strong Pairing of Apple Watch + AirPods

I talked about the magic that Apple Watch + AirPods can deliver to users before and I remain a believer. In a similar way to HomePod, music on the Apple Watch is the easiest way to appreciate Siri as well as the combo with AirPods. With watchOS 4, Apple is making it simpler to get to the music you want for your workout thanks to a new multi-playlist support and automatic import.

Apple also introduced the new Siri face that makes Apple Watch much more context-aware by delivering information that is relevant to you at a specific moment in time. While Apple did not talk about it, one could see how that Siri Watch face could integrate very well with voice when you are wearing AirPods. Siri could, for instance, tell you that you need to leave for your meeting while showing you the calendar appointment on Apple Watch.

So, as Apple Watch becomes more like a coach, Siri becomes more a visible but discreet assistant that is being liberated from the iPhone. I think this is a very powerful paradigm and before nay-sayers jump to point out that Apple Watch penetration is limited, I underline that Apple Watch users are highly engaged in the Apple ecosystem and represent Siri’s best opportunity. Similar to CarPlay, Apple Watch also has a captivated audience not just for Siri’s brains but also for voice-first. With Apple Watch, voice interaction is the most natural form of interaction, especially when wearing AirPods. So much so that, with watchOS 4, SiriKit adds support for apps that are used to take notes, so that now you can use Siri on Apple Watch to make changes in any note-taking app.

Smarter Watch, Smarter Apps

Some Apple Watch critics have used the news that circulated last month that Google, Amazon, and eBay were killing support of their Apple Watch apps as evidence that Apple Watch failed. The reality is, however, as I explained numerous times, that Apple Watch cannot be seen as an iPhone on your wrist and therefore its success will not be driven nor defined by the same enablers.

Don’t get me wrong, there is certainly a place for apps to play, but context is going to be much more important than it has been so far on the iPhone or the iPad. This is why I believe Apple’s latest watchOS will help in making apps not just faster and smoother to run but much more relevant for users.

First, there will be a single process that runs the app’s UI elements and code. This helps with speed and responsiveness and means developers do not need to change their code. Access to Core Bluetooth will allow apps to bypass the iPhone and connect directly to Apple Watch so that data is transmitted faster between Apple Watch and an accessory for instance. Apple also increased the number of app categories that can run in background mode like for example, navigation apps.

While it will be up to developers to think differently when it comes to delivering apps for Apple Watch, I believe Apple has given them a much easier tool set to succeed.

Apple Watch and its Role in Ambient Computing

HomePod was the sexy hot product that everybody paid attention to and ambient computing is the buzzword of choice at the moment. Both extremely relevant in how one should think about home computing and even office computing, to be honest. It is easy for me to see the role that Apple Watch can play in helping me navigate my ambient computing network in a personal and highly relevant way. It is early days, but Apple has laid the foundation!

Apple Pay Cash Will Help in China and India, not Just the US

Last week at WWDC, Apple introduced Apple Pay Cash, a new peer to peer (P2P) payment system in iMessage powered by Apple Pay. Quickly compared to PayPal’s Venmo and Square Cash, the service will launch with iOS 11 and be available at the time of launch only in the US.

Apple walked me through the process for the first Apple Pay Cash money transfer and it is as easy as you would think something Apple came up with could be. Say I want to send money to my good friend Ben. I go to iMessage and hit the Apple Pay app, pick the amount I want to send, authenticate the transaction through Touch ID and I am done. If I had never used Apple Pay before, I would be asked to associate a card to my Apple Pay account. I could have also just asked Siri to send money to Ben and a message would have been created for me with the amount specified. Ben receives an iMessage that alerts him of the transaction and asks to set up an Apple Pay Cash card in his wallet and the credit gets added to it. The money on the card can be transferred to others or used to pay anywhere that accepts Apple Pay. Like other services, if users associated Apple Pay Cash to a debit card there are no fees while credit cards are subject to a 3% fee. The digital debit card is powered by Green Dot Bank a well-established name in the business of pre-paid cards.

This is how Millennials do it!

Services such as Venmo and Square Cash are predominantly used by millennials to do pretty much everything from splitting a dinner to paying rent. A recent Bank of America study showed that 62% of US consumers between the age of 18 and 34 use peer-to-peer apps regularly. This was almost double of what recorded by the general population. Intention among non-users is relatively high too, with 50% of those who do not use P2P apps saying they will likely do so in the future.
Behind the high adoption two primary drivers: convenience and a highly smartphone-centric user. Carrying cash is certainly out of fashion for younger consumers, and with smartphone penetration as high as 98 percent it should not be a surprise that for millennials apps are the go to for cash. A natural trust in technology, helps of course, as it limits concerns around security which are usually more widespread in older demographics.

Not a Profitable Business

Let’s take a look at how the established P2P payment services are doing.
Venmo’s total payment volume reached $21.2 billion between the second quarter of 2016 and the first quarter of 2017. Venmo’s growth is driven almost entirely by word-of-mouth, and almost exclusively among millennials. The average Venmo transaction size is $2, reflecting the usage patterns of the youngest millennials. Despite the incredible growth, Venmo is not profitable.
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Square Cash has also been losing money as costs are overtaking revenue and apparently have been doing so since the launch back in 2013.

Snapchat added Snapcash back in 2014 using Square Cash as its backend but it never seemed to see P2P payments as a priority

You get the picture…nobody is making any money so why is Apple bothering?
Apple’s focus is on two things: Apple Pay and iMessage.

Apple Pay Cash will help drive adoption of Apple Pay especially among users who might not yet have a credit card. While you need to be 18 to have an Apple Pay Cash card, it is likely that many young millennials will have a debit card but might not yet have a credit card, making Apple Pay Cash a convenient alternative to a secured credit card.

Apple could have integrated the Apple Pay Cash functionality solely in the wallet, but I think the integration with iMessage is really about building a full messaging platform that over time will compete for feature by feature with what is available in the market.

The Emerging Market Opportunity

While Apple Pay Cash will only be initially available in the US, I do expect Apple to go internationally. Services like this are not easy to take internationally as they involve banks, local regulators, retailers. I expect Apple to be very tactical in the countries they decide to enter with Apple Pay Cash, and I see China and, further along the line, India as two big opportunities.

Apple Pay launched in China in 2016, and so far uptake has been limited mainly because of the stiff competition by Alipay and Tenpay as well as the pervasive usage of QR codes for payments.

P2P payments in China is dominated by WeChat the messaging app that has close to 800 million active users. The success in P2P payments came straight away from the launch of Red Packets service in 2014. WeChat digitized the old practice to give Red Envelopes with money in them for special occasions and holidays. When the Red Packets debuted in 2014, over Chinese New year, the number of people using WeChat payments grew to 100 million in a month from the initial 30 million. Over the holidays more than 20 million red envelopes were sent. The following year, the number grew to 3.2 billion!

Of course, WeChat has the advantage of being cross-platform, but for Apple, it is not really about market leadership but about making sure that Apple users have no reason to look elsewhere to do something like P2P payments. Considering that P2P is more popular than mobile payments it might also mean that users would be more open to trying Apple Pay Cash than Apple Pay.

India is still a small market for Apple but one that offers tremendous opportunity for iPhone. In April, WhatsApp was reported to be looking into launching a P2P payment service using UPI, a cross-bank system backed by the government. Once again, Apple might need Apple Pay Cash to seriously position iMessage as a complete messaging platform.

From Convenience to Engagement

The convenience millennials see in P2P payments should easily transfer to Apple Pay as users start to use their Apple Pay Cash card for in-store and online payments. Apple Pay Cash lets you transfer your cash balance to a bank account, but I am not sure you want to do that as I had the impression it would not be as straight forward as using your money with Apple Pay.  That, in turn, might create some muscle memory that will have consumers turn to Apple Pay more often than they would turn to a physical card. This is where Apple’s potential revenue will come from: higher transaction volumes of Apple Pay.

Apple HomePod: A Speaker with the Bonus of Siri

On Monday, the most awaited and rumored device of Apple’s developer conference was finally announced as the last one thing of an over two-hour long keynote: HomePod.

A little later in the day, in a room that is probably as large as my family room at home, I had the opportunity to listen to HomePod and compare its performance to an Amazon Echo and a Sonos Play 3. I listened to five songs across the three devices: Sia’s “The Greatest,” “Sunrise” by Norah Jones, “Superstition” by Stevie Wonder, “DNA” by Kendrick Lamar and a live performance of The Eagles’ “Hotel California.” The sound coming from HomePod was crisper and the vocals clearer than the Sonos. The comparison with Echo was the harsher of the two. No matter where I stood in the room, the music sounded great. What I did not get to do was talk to Siri! Even the demo was run from an iPad which would imply there is Bluetooth support with HomePod.

The Advantage of Going Music First

On Stage, Phil Schiller said the HomePod will do to home music what iPod did to music overall. The iPod, of course, did a lot to music from a business model perspective but I do not think this is what Schiller was getting at. I believe the ‘reinventing home music’ comment is actually closer to what AirPods have done for wireless headsets. They created a more magical experience from pairing your phone, all the way to listening to music. HomePod delivers good quality sound without the added complexity of having to figure out where to position multiple speakers in a room to achieve that sound. The fact that HomePod understands where it is positioned in the room and whether or not it is paired with another HomePod so that the way the music is played changes dynamically takes all the burden away from the user.

By focusing on music first, Apple straight away opens up the addressable market to a much broader segment than what a smart speaker would do. There are more people our there interested in buying or replacing their speakers that care about good sound quality than there are wanting a smart speaker that delivers ok sound.

While early tech adopters might find it easy to invest in a speaker to get access to an assistant the price that they are willing to pay for it has been set by Amazon and Google and so far it has not gone past $249. Beyond early adopters justifying the investment gets a little more tricky if the core value is put on the assistant. Nobody would question quality sound, however. And even if the assistant turns out not to be that key for you, you would not be regretting the purchase. That is a smart move when you think that Apple not only knows music but knows hardware.

Siri as a Specialist to Build Trust

During the keynote, Apple was much more intentional with how it described Siri beyond voice. As the different presenters talked about Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Siri clearly emerged as a brain, not just a voice.

When it comes to HomePod, Siri becomes a musicologist that will be able to understand my music taste and preferences and deliver the perfect playlist just when I ask “Siri play some music I like.” Determine what music to play in relation to taste, possibly mood and time of the day does not seem particularly difficult which would give Siri a high chance to get it right. This accuracy is going to build confidence in the user who will likely increase usage and trust Siri for other things over time.

Opening too much too soon when it comes to APIs, however, could spoil that experience and Apple is not willing to take that risks. The number of things you can do with an intelligent speaker or any device that is linked to a digital assistant is not, in my opinion, what truly matters.

Alexa has over 11 thousand skills but how many are regularly used in a way that makes an impact on the user life. In a way, skills are the new apps. The number game works for a while but what it will boil down to is what skills hook me on the device. Everybody is going to be a little different. For me, my Alexa morning briefings and traffic alerts have become a part of my morning routine.

The number of devices that will be able to integrate an assistant is also not the most important thing in the overall experience. Just because you can integrate an assistant in a fridge or a washing machine it does not mean that you should. Voice UI and assistant are two different things. Will I want to control my washing machine with voice? Sure. Will I want for my assistant to be in my washing machine? No!

Curating the experience so early in the game is important. Our data shows that consumers who tried a digital assistant a few times and did not get the answer or the task they wanted gave up and never tried again. Getting disappointed users to try again is harder than getting consumers to try in the first place.

Don’t draw Conclusions on Why We did not get to interact with Siri

Apple said that HomePod is a hub to control Home when out and about. It also said that Siri in HomePod can do the same things “she” does in the iPhone or the iPad. There are a lot of questions that do not have answers today: will HomePod be able to recognize and differentiate users when it is associated with a Music family account? Will HomePod connect to my Apple TV? Will I be able to stream other music services other than Apple Music? Will there be a developer kit?

When it comes to Siri, I would urge not to conclude that the Siri we know today will be the same as what we will discover once HomePod hits the market. We are aware that iOS 11 will bring enhancements to Siri. Aside from a new voice, and more context that will be used to suggest answers to follow-up questions, Siri will now support translation from English into Chinese, German, Italian, French and Spanish with more to come later. Siri will also be able to provide bank account summaries, balance transfers and support third-party note-taking.

I believe that the reason why we did not get to interact with Siri as part of the demo is that the experience will be very different, but there is, of course, more work to be done otherwise HomePod will be shipping now! By letting HomePod out of the bag, Apple made sure that people in the market for a speaker did not rush to get what is available on the market today.

Slow and Steady wins the Race

As much as we like to talk about who is ahead and who is behind, the reality is that the smart speaker and digital assistant market are still at the start of a long opportunity and Apple is still right in the game. While Siri might not come across as smart as Alexa and Google Assistant “she” has been learning consumers’ preferences, habits, behaviors for years now and doing that across over thirty countries albeit with different skills. Apple mentioned that Siri is used monthly on 375 million devices. This reach is a significant advantage and maybe the primary source of the discontent that some feel right now. With Siri having this kind of advantage why are we not seeing more? Well, I think we are about to see more!

Are We Wrong about the Future of Urban Commuting?

Over the past few months, there has been a lot of talk about the future of transportation; from the car as a service to self-driving cars. We seem to be expecting many changes that will redefine how we get from point A to point B.

Ride-share companies Uber and Lyft have grown in popularity capturing consumer dollars and press attention, although not always for the right reasons. If making a brand a verb is a measure of success and awareness, then Uber made it as “Uber it” seats quite happily with “Google it”.

Having presenters on tech conference stages talk about how millennials will only want an Uber account, not a car or judging by how many people we know to use these services and are anxiously waiting for their driving days to be over, might not be the best way to access how realistic or inclusive this future is.

At Creative Strategies, we just conducted a study across 1,000 US consumers of their preferences when it comes to commuting as well as their expectations about the future of it. The key takeaway is brands and industry watchers might want to consider the reality of how America feels about this topic is not dissimilar to how America felt about the recent US presidential election. Urban vs. rural, millennials vs. baby-boomers, higher income vs. lower income, male vs. female. All play a role in separating reality from fantasy.

Ride Sharing Services are Growing Thanks to a Few

If you look at where most Uber and Lyft users (based on the app phone usage) are coming from, it is quite easy to spot an income gap in the userbase. 31% of Uber app usage and 24% of Lyft app usage over the last quarter of 2016 came from American consumers falling in the top 25% income bracket.

In our research, only 18% of the consumers interviewed said they use Uber. Another 4% stated they use Lyft. Interestingly, 7.5% stated they shifted from Uber to Lyft as Uber has been in the news for all the wrong reasons. As one would expect, usage grows among early tech adopters. 29% of them say they use Uber with 8% saying they use Lyft. What is also interesting, however, is this market segment seems to be even more sensitive to the news surrounding Uber. An extraordinary 25% said they switched from Uber to Lyft. Millennials who, as a group, are usually portrayed as having a high social responsibility, do not seem to be impacted by the negativity surrounding Uber as only 11% said they shifted away to use Lyft.

The majority of Americans still own a car (82% to be exact) and another 9% have access to one they share with a family member. Ownership declines slightly among millennials to 72%, while car sharing rises to 14%. When it comes to planning their commute, only 4% will consider whether to drive their car or use a ride-share service and another 2% would consider whether to use a car service or a ride-share service.

It seems safe to say the death of car ownership is highly exaggerated.

Design Trumps Safety and Environment

I have been arguing for quite some time that, while we wait for self-driving cars to get to market, there is a lot of value car manufacturers can deliver, especially around safety. Sadly, however, safety is not the primary factor that drives consumers’ purchase. Design beats safety 50% to 24%. Safety is even less of a priority among early tech adopters. 55% mention design as the key driver and only 10% mention safety.

Safety was, however, on the minds of those consumers planning to replace their car over the next 12 months. 49% indicated blind spot warning systems, 49% mentioned parking cameras and 36% said auto-braking for collision avoidance were all things they were looking at. Although those potential buyers might not see these individual features as adding to their safety, they certainly do. The fact consumers do not think of these features as safety ones is interesting, as it could pose a challenge on how to advertise them in a commercial, calling more for an individual show and tell than an overarching claim of safety.

Fully electric cars score high with early tech adopters. 52% see fully electric capability as a key feature of their next car. Only 17% of the supposed environmentally conscious millennials prioritize a fully electric car for their next purchase.

Early Tech Adopters, not Millennials, are Ready for Self-Driving Cars

Big brands like Apple, Google, Tesla and more might all be in the race to deliver self-driving cars but consumers are certainly not holding their breath.

Only 11% of the consumers we interviewed said they are looking forward to computers taking over the driving and 29% stated they would never be seen in a self-driving car. Interestingly, 21% trust the technology but believe regulations will take a long time to make self-driving cars a reality. Early tech adopters are more open to the idea, with 29% looking forward to having computers take over driving and another 26% looking forward to using the time to catch up on reading or other content.

Who consumers trust with bringing to market a reliable self-driving car is not a done deal, at least when it comes to the runner-up brands. Tesla is the winner across all segments but the number two and three spots change quite a bit, depending on the group you are looking at. Overall, 28% of consumers believe in Tesla while 24% believe it will be a traditional car manufacturer. Among early tech adopters, the support goes to more tech brands, with Apple at 30% and Google at 17% but Tesla still best encapsulating the blend between cars and tech with 34%. Millennials also see Tesla as the brand most likely to deliver a reliable self-driving car. 38% in the group mentioning the Tesla brand. The number two choice is Google at 23% followed by traditional car manufacturers at 15% and Apple at 13%. Women hold almost similar faith in traditional car manufacturers (28%) as they do Tesla (27%). With men, the split between the two is 22% to 28% for Tesla.

I am not surprised consumers don’t have it all figured out when it comes to the future of commuting. A world where we no longer own cars and rely on self-driving ones when we are a passenger is quite different from today. A challenge for all involved though, when it comes to brand trust and intent, is that consumers are certainly influenced by how vocal companies are about their plans.

Imagining the Future of Commuting is Harder than Imagining the Future of Computing

How consumers feel about cars and their commute today, coupled with the uncertainty about artificial intelligence taking over from humans, shows how imagining how different our commute will be in 10 years is more complicated than thinking we could take our phone or PC outside of our home or office. Harder not only because it questions our beliefs in technology but because it wants to change habits and practices that have been set for decades. Think about waiting to turn 16 or 18 to get your driving license and how life empowering it is getting your first car. How can getting your own Uber account make up for that? How can you trust a computer in a car not to crash as much as your PC or phone does and knowing your life and the life of others depends on it? Big questions I am not sure consumers have answers for yet.

Millennials will Drive the Digital Transformation of the Workplace

If you ask ten different organizations what digital transformation is, you will likely get ten different answers. As is often the case, the answer depends on where each organization is in the process of integrating technology into their workflow. Many believe digital transformation means to get rid of paper, which of course is an oversimplification and not entirely the point. Others believe it is about using technology to do the same things we have always done. In other words, much of the focus is on digital and not so much on transformation.

Mobile was a Test Run

Let’s be honest, enterprise did not see mobile coming. Sure, they saw mobile phones but the impact smartphones would have on their IT department and business was never clearly understood until it was upon them. Smartphones were the start of employees’ empowerment. Carrier subsidies took away the cost barrier for the latest technology, making it accessible to the masses and those masses wanted to use that technology at work, not just at home.

“Bring Your Own Device” (BYOD) could have never been a trend when technology was so expensive only a few could afford it. We went from wanting to take home the PC we used at work to bring to work the smartphone we used at home. Smartphones were apps’ Trojan horse. Once we had our phones with us in the office, we wanted to continue to use the same applications and services we used at home. So, to BYOD we added BYOA (“Bring Your Own App”) as it was about the overall experience new mobile platforms such as iOS and Android were delivering.

Most organizations went through three phases: denial, resistance, and acceptance. Denial lasted a few years as devices came through the back door, then came a few years of resistance trying to impose mobile device management tools to limit what users could do, all in the name of security. Finally, we got acceptance with iOS now present in most Fortune 500 organizations recording a satisfaction rate of 96%.

The Rise of Millennials in the Workforce

What played to enterprise’s favor, at least a little, was the fact not everyone in their organizations, especially their C-suites, was quick to adopt these new devices and apps. That digital divide is going away faster and faster as new graduates get hired and younger managers move up the corporate ladders.

According to the U.S Census Bureau, millennials surpassed Generation X as the largest part of the American workforce back in 2015. Projections put millennials as comprising more than one of three adults in America by 2020 and 75% of the workforce by 2025.

It goes without saying millennials are very tech savvy. But the differences with baby boomers do not end there. Research has shown boomers identify their strengths as hardworking, optimistic, and used to navigating in organizations with large corporate hierarchies, rather than flat management structures and teamwork-based job roles. Millennials are quite drastically different: well educated, self-confident, multi-taskers who prefer to work in teams rather than as an individual and have a good work/life balance.

A recent study by Merrill Edge showed millennials have very different priorities in life compared to boomers. With the focus on personal achievements, millennials want to work at their dream job (42% vs. 23%) and travel the world (37% vs. 21%).

What is a Millennial’s Dream Job?

At Creative Strategies, we asked over 1,400 18 to 24 years old in the US what would make them not choose a company to work for after they were offered a job. While 35% were just happy to get a job, 46% would see not being able to work flexible hours as a dealbreaker. 21% would walk away from a job that did not let them use a smartphone for work in conjunction with their laptop or desktop, while another 17% could not tolerate an IT department that restricts what can be done with a smartphone. Finally, 14% could not be in a job that did not offer collaboration practices that fit their desired workflow, such as using apps like Google Docs or Slack, as well as video conference support.

Workflow is different for millennials. Aside from prioritizing collaboration, 65% said their preferred method to communicate is messaging apps. When it comes to collaboration, Google reigns supreme with 81% of US millennials regularly using Google Docs, 62% Google search, 59% Google Mail. Outside of Google, Apple iMessage scored the highest, with 57% of millennials saying they regularly rely on it, followed by Microsoft Word with 51%.

When it comes to devices, given a choice of laptop brands by their employer, there are only two brands that seem to matter: 62% would pick an Apple Mac and 14% would choose a Microsoft Surface Pro. Mobility is also no longer a “nice to have”. 34% of millennials say it is extremely important that the software, services and business processes they use for work are available on mobile as well as on a laptop. Finally, when coming into a job, 46% would prefer to be able to choose what laptop is given to them.

Digital Transformation to Attract and Retain

Transforming your business by embracing technology and the innovation technology empowers when it comes to business models and workflows, is necessary to attract talented employees. If that was not enough of a driver for companies, they should think about where the big spenders will come from. If 75% of the workforce by 2025 will be made up of millennials, where do you think the largest source of revenue will come from for businesses around the US? Where will the buying power be if not with millennials? Businesses will need to embrace digital transformation to deliver what their future customers will want.

Everybody Wants a Bite of iOS, Apple remains Mostly Self-Contained

A few hours after publishing this column, Google could be announcing that Google Assistant is going to iOS. Last week, Microsoft announced several new features for Windows 10 Fall Creator Edition, such as Pick Up Where You Left Off and OneDrive Files on Demand, will be available on iOS.

Everybody wants a piece of iOS or better, everybody wants to get to the most valuable consumers out there. You’ve heard this before — Apple customers are very valuable. You only have to look at what they spend on hardware and the growing revenue they drive at the App Store and subscription services to get an idea as to why other ecosystem owners might want to get to them.

Not Having a Horse in the Race makes You Free

When your main source of revenue is not hardware to be device, and, to some extent, platform agnostic, becomes so much easier. For Microsoft and Google, the core business revolves around cloud and advertizing respectively and, while they sell their own devices as well as monetize from their operating systems, they have made the decision to engage with consumers on iOS.

For Microsoft having Office, OneDrive and Cortana available on iOS and partly on Android allows them to reach more users than they would through their PCs alone. Of course, Microsoft has nothing to lose in mobile, as Windows Phone has never been able to get more than single digit market share in the US. Yet, this tactic is not limited to phones. These apps and services are also available on iPad and Mac, segments where Microsoft and its Windows partners have a very strong interest.

Microsoft’s long-term play was described very well at their Build Conference Keynote with the slogan “Windows 10 PCs heart all devices.” I would have gone a step further and said, “Windows 10 heart all devices” but that would not have been very politically correct towards their partners. Whichever slogan you prefer, the idea behind it is spot on. Let users pick what phone they want to use (or tablet, or wearable) but make sure that, if they have one Windows 10 device, their experience across devices is the best one they could have. By getting the best experience as a consumer, you want to continue to stay engaged and you choose services and apps delivered by Microsoft over what comes pre-installed on the phone.

Google has always had a pretty agnostic platform approach when it came to its apps and services. The experience is often better on Android but it does not mean consumers do not get benefits from using apps and services on other platforms and devices. Google Maps and Chrome might be the best example thus far but soon it might well be Google Assistant. While other platforms might limit how deep of an integration assistants such as Google and Cortana might have, they are still delivering some value to the user and they collect valuable information for the provider.

As we move from a mobile-first to a cloud-first and AI-first world, knowing your users so you can better serve them will be key. Google hoped to do that with Android but, unfortunately, despite million and millions of users owning Android-based devices, it did not provide the return Google was hoping for. Users of Android simply do not equate to users of Google services. So, making sure to get to the valuable users is key for this next phase, especially as the bond with the user will be so much tighter than any hardware or single service has been able to provide before.

Hardware as a Means to an End

Selling hardware can be a great source of revenue, as Apple can tell you. For Amazon, Google and, to some extent Microsoft, however, hardware is more a means to an end than a source of revenue any of these companies will ever be able to depend on.

Being able to personify or, in this case, objectify, the vision they have for their services and apps is key. Whether it is a home for Alexa and Google Assistant or a TV for Prime Video or an in-car experience for Google Maps, it is important users experience the best implementation of that end to end vision.

Yet, if your business stability does not depend on it, you are not spending marketing dollars to convince buyers to switch their devices or upgrade them. You are instead focusing on delivering the best value wherever you can. As you move to other hardware, however, you take value away. When there is no value left, the hardware itself will look much less appealing to the most demanding users, increasing the risk of churn. Ben Thomson recently made this very point about Apple in China where iPhone users are so engaged with services from local players the value of Apple is reduced compared to what we could experience here in the US where we might subscribe to Apple Music, use Apple Pay and so on.

Follow the Money

So where does this leave Apple and its hardware-centric business model? Well, if you have been paying attention to recent earnings calls, this leaves Apple pivoting from hardware to services, with revenues reaching their highest value yet at $7 billion. App Store revenue is growing 40% year over year with an installed base of subscribers at 165 million customers and Apple Pay transactions are up 450% over 2016.

For now, it does not look like Apple has much to worry about. Not only are the most valuable customers on iOS and macOS but they are engaged with the services and apps on offer. As the offensive from other players intensifies, however, Apple should look at playing a similar game, even if this means opening up some of its services and apps to other platforms.

Microsoft proudly announced last week that iTunes will be coming to the Windows 10 Store. Many were quick to point out that nobody really uses iTunes anymore but that seems to me a very iOS-centric view. There are still many PC users that use iTunes and they represent an untapped opportunity for Apple Music, a service they might not consider using on their phones but, as part of iTunes on their PC, could look very appealing.

There are stickier services like iMessage or Apple Pay and Siri that could drive engagement through other devices. Think about the ability to iMessage on a PC instead of using Skype. Or the option to create an Apple Pay account that works in other browsers. Or Siri that speaks to you through your appliances.

Finding the right balance between too closed or too open is not easy. We know how open can hurt interoperability but we also know how closed can limit growth. This is not about defending. That can be done by making sure to deliver a superior experience on Apple hardware so that, no matter what other apps and services are available, users will never consider anything but what is pre-installed. It’s rather about making sure no opportunity is left untapped which means to go and get the money to be had.

Amazon not Standing Still in Pursuit of Voice-First Homes

On Tuesday, Amazon launched Echo Show. After weeks of speculation, and a few leaked pictures, we finally have it: Alexa has a screen. You can now see music lyrics with Amazon Music, video clips, cameras, live video calls, Prime photos, recipes from YouTube, and more. You can still navigate all of that with your voice despite the 7″ screen being touch-enabled. Priced at $229.99, Echo Show is available for preorders now and ships on June 28th. I had the opportunity to sit through an extensive demo of the device and was surprised at how much I liked the screen.

Show and Tell

When the first rumors around a possible Echo with a screen started to circulate a few months ago, I was quite vocal in my disapproval. My big concern was adding a screen might take away from the voice-first experience Alexa is supposed to deliver. I saw the screen as a big risk at a time when many consumers are easily falling back into old habits which, for most in the home, means going back to typing on our phones.

It seems as though current Echo owners might not be as worried as I was, however. In a recent study Creative Strategies ran in collaboration with Experian, consumers were asked a long list of questions about their current usage preference and satisfaction as well how they felt about some statements aimed at capturing their perception of Alexa and sentiments on possible new features. 20% of consumers strongly agreed and 32% somewhat agree with the following statement: “I wish my Amazon Echo had a screen (to display text or photos, visualize search results etc…).”

When the Amazon team shared the name Echo Show and then proceeded to walk me through the features, it was not difficult to see why they chose that name. The screen is not about watching, displaying, or viewing. It really is about showing some of the things Alexa would take too long to tell you. It is about complementing your experience and still using voice-first as your main input.

My initial concern went away because Echo Show is not trying to be many different things at once or replacing other viewing devices in your homes. It is really all about adding value to Alexa for tasks where showing you the information rather than telling you make sense. So, if you are asking Alexa what the weather in Seattle is, being able to show you the forecast for the next 5 days vs. having Alexa tell you makes more sense. Or being able to show you the trailer of a movie after you ask what is playing at the cinema. For the user, there is no change in behavior required compared to the original Echo.

Want to Say a Quick Hello to the Family? Just Drop In

One feature that has not gotten much coverage, probably because it is difficult to explain if you have not experienced it, is Drop In. With Echo Show and the Alexa app, you can just say “Alexa, drop in on X” and it will make the Echo Show connect via the camera to the home you are calling. The receiver of the call will have 10 seconds to accept or turn off the video while the person who originated the call sees a frosted glass effect. This is clearly not for all your contacts. If you would not like a person to drop by at your front door unannounced, he or she should not be able to Drop In on you either. The fact Amazon has Drop In off by default and the user needs to enable it tells you they do not think of this as central to the experience but as a nice addition for some people.

Personally, I know I will love to drop in on my family when I travel or even on my dogs and cat when we are not home. I also know I can count on one hand the people that will be able to drop in on us. Amazon has taken great care in giving you time to accept the video call as video and audio or audio only but I still think the user needs to figure out what this feature adds to their experience: an easier and more personal way of calling someone or home/pet/older relative monitoring? It is about the quality of your interaction with a few “special” people rather than the number of people you can share this with.

Although some people might compare Drop in to Google’s Knock Knock, I think the use case is quite different as Drop in is not the main way you will communicate with people through Alexa but it might be the preferred one when it comes to a select number of people. Adding communications to Alexa was not something our panel felt as strongly about as having a screen but there was certainly an interest. When asked how they felt about the statement: “I would be interested in using my Echo like a phone to communicate with others”, only 11% strongly agreed and another 24% somewhat agreed. The less clear stand on adding communication capabilities to Alexa has more to do with how much we rely on our phones for communication. As we are not planning to go without a phone anytime soon, Alexa might seem a little superfluous to some.

Priced to Sell

At $229.99 and two for $349.99, Echo Show is aggressively priced. Some might think this is Amazon just trying to get ahead of Google, Microsoft and possibly Apple’s upcoming announcements in the space. However, I believe this is Amazon continuing on its path to make sure we have as many Echo devices as possible. It is quite clear from our data Echo owners are using different devices in different rooms already. While Echo seems to reign supreme in the kitchen (35%) and the living room (23%), Echo Dot fits first and foremost in the bedroom (24%) and then in the living room and kitchen equally (18%).

The speakers in Echo Show are meant to be even better than the original Echo but positioning this device in your home might require a bit more planning simply because, while your voice might travel, you do want to make sure Echo Show is where you can best take advantage of the screen. Personally, I think the kitchen counter is the best place because there are many use cases that fit the kitchen — following along on how to prepare a dish or morning briefings that now also support video content. The kitchen, at least for now, is probably the room where Echo Show has the least competition when it comes to screens, giving it the best opportunity to show off its capabilities.

Prioritizing Engagement

The race for the control of the connected home experience is far from over but it is clear Amazon not only had a considerable head-start but it is clearly committed to this space. Nothing says it better than building a portfolio of products with different use cases and price points. Long-term engagement with these devices is critical and discovering skills plays right into that. Alexa has now more than 12,000 skills but let’s not get caught up in the same game we played with App Stores. It is really the quality of those skills, not the quantity that will make the difference to my experience as a user. I hope the screen in the new Echo does not become the star of the Show but the best actor in a supporting role for Alexa.

Microsoft’s Two-Pronged Approach to Education

On Tuesday, Microsoft held an event in New York where it presented its new version of Windows called Windows 10 S as well as the new Surface Laptop. With the combination of the two, plus apps targeted at teachers and educators, Microsoft is hoping to gain traction in the K-12 as well as higher education.

In January 2017 at the BETT show in London, Microsoft announced “Intune for Education” which delivered a simple device management solution for schools that can customize over 150 settings, apply them to hardware and apps, and assign them to a student so they “follow” any device they use as they log in. Microsoft also announced a partnership with Acer, HP, and Lenovo to bring to market Windows 10 PCs starting at $189 including some 2-in-1s.

Chromebooks have been steadily growing in US education market which, according to FutureSource Consulting, represented close to 13 million units in 2016, of which 58% were Chromebooks. While most of the commentary around Chromebooks’ success rests on hardware pricing, there is a lot in the simplicity of the platform that is a big appeal for schools. However, with prices as low as $120, competing against Chromebooks is not an easy task.

Windows 10 S aims at taking Microsoft a step further from what we have seen thus far, especially when it comes to the initial set up of devices and subsequent management. By stripping down Windows 10 to its essential components and granting access to only store apps, Microsoft is hoping to deliver the simplicity schools are looking for.

Windows 10 S will need OEM Support to make a Difference

The battle in education is, however, a Windows/Microsoft battle for now, not an OEM battle, as most Microsoft hardware partners are selling Chromebooks. While Microsoft announced a list of partners that will bring to market Windows 10 S devices, the commitment will be judged on how many models, channel support, and overall push we will see from brands such as HP, Acer, and Dell.

No details have been given on the royalty OEMs will pay Microsoft for preloading Windows 10 S and how that differs from Windows 10 Home and Windows 10 Pro. Nor have we heard whether Microsoft will help in any other way, such as marketing, to position the devices. My guess is Microsoft will have to do something, at least initially, so that Windows 10 S actually gets a shot to prove itself.

The Surface Laptop competes with the MacBook Air not Chromebooks

Looking at the Surface Laptop Microsoft announced during the event and dismissing Microsoft’s chances to compete against Chromebooks is a mistake. Surface Laptop, in my mind, has a different role to play.

First, it plays to Millennials’ need for a laptop form factor vs. a 2-in-1 or a tablet. In a recent study Creative Strategies conducted in the US, college students clearly shared their preference for a traditional laptop form factor with 73% primarily using a laptop when working on a school or work project.

Second, the Surface Laptop aims at picking up higher ed students who, in the past, might have picked up a MacBook Air. Eighty-eight percent of Mac users in the Creative Strategy study said they would pick a Mac if their employer offered them a choice. 9% said they would pick a Surface. Surface was the only Windows-based brand to register any real interest among the overall panel with 16% of Millennials mentioning Surface as the brand they would choose. If we exclude Apple from the brand option and only consider brands within the Windows ecosystem, then the preference for Surface grew to 43%. If you are not convinced, just watch the video Microsoft played at the launch. It is a love affair between you, the user, and Surface Laptop. They could not have made it more personal if they tried. I guarantee you, that is not how a school administrator picks hardware.

Lastly, Surface Laptop can appeal to those enterprises invested in the Windows ecosystem but who are looking for more affordable Surface hardware and a more traditional form factor. If they have not yet embraced Windows 10 apps, enterprises can upgrade Surface Laptop to Windows 10 Pro.

Windows 10 S has a Role to Play Outside Education

While the focus of Microsoft’s event was education, I see Windows 10 S playing a role in other areas as well, although Microsoft did the right thing by not talking about it at the event. People need time to get their head around Windows 10 S and trying to make it something for everybody would have been too confusing.

I see Windows 10 S as the modern implementation of the Windows ecosystem, one that puts Windows 10 apps right in the middle of the experience. Because of this, I see Windows 10 S appealing to consumers who want a mobile-first experience and are not concerned about support for legacy apps. I also see Windows 10 S potentially appealing to enterprises that have already transitioned to a Windows 10 app environment.

From a consumer perspective, I hope to hear more from Microsoft next week at Build how they are planning to help developers invest more in Store apps. This is going to make a huge difference in how users see their devices going forward – productivity only to one-stop device for both work and play. There is no question Microsoft has been putting a lot of effort in first party apps but more needs to be done for developers so the vision of inking, mixed reality, and 3D printing is brought to life sooner rather than later.

As to be expected, a lot of attention was given to Surface and the Windows 10 S but the other tools Microsoft launched today, such as Minecraft Code Builder, Microsoft Teams for education, and the STEM programs and camps really show the full commitment, not just to education but to the next generation of Windows users.

Can Tech make Me a Fashionista?

Last week, Amazon was awarded a patent for an on-demand manufacturing system designed to quickly produce clothing and other products — linen and curtains and such — only after they have been ordered. Amazon applied for the patent in late 2015 and, since then, they has been growing their fashion inventory as well as its own clothing brands. According to a Bloomberg report published in September 2016, Amazon was named the biggest online clothing seller. Amazon got to that position by adding items directly proportional to the confidence consumers had in buying online. Starting out with shoes (easy to size) and T-shirts (a relatively modest investment and also easy to size), Amazon grew its range, building from basic items to fashion powerhouse names such as Kate Spade, Vince, Ted Baker, and Michael Kors, just to name a few.

According to a recent report on commerce by GWI, 20% of online consumers in the US bought clothes online in the last quarter of 2016. Another 14% bought shoes. If you don’t think that’s significant, what if I told you that only 14% of consumers bought online the item that “killed” brick and mortar stores: books.

Consumers are becoming more comfortable with buying clothes, shoes, and accessories online but new ways of selling and new technologies can push this market even further by making the whole experience more personal.

Fashion as a Service

Subscription services in shopping have been growing in popularity over the past few years. What in most cases started with organic fruit and vegetables, soon developed to include razors, toothbrushes, dog treats, toys and, more recently, fashion items. Several companies deliver shirts and lingerie on a monthly or quarterly basis to happy but busy customers who like the consistency of a brand they love being delivered to them.

But the model is changing. While Uber and Lyft are getting all the publicity for revolutionizing transport and possibly drive – no pun intended – consumers away from owning cars to simply ordering a car, fashion has also been moving to a more hybrid subscription rental service. Le Tote is a good example of a successful service. They deliver a tote with items based on style and fit as well as personal preferences. You wear anything in your tote for as long as you want, then send it back when you are done, ready for a new order. If there is something you like, you can keep it and buy at a discounted price.

The ability to change your wardrobe collection often with trendy clothes that fit your lifestyle needs coupled with the convenience of delivery is certainly something busy women, or women who do not enjoy the shopping, experience can appreciate. Adding further customization to the fit of the clothes would drive more people to try this kind of service and is where new technologies such as AR and connected sensors can play a role.

Visual Computing and the Buying Experience

With Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality coming to our phones and PCs, we see the potential for shopping experiences to be redefined. For example, being able to see on your walls how a color you picked will go with your furniture, size a new sofa in your family room or try your new car on for size without having to go to a dealership, is becoming a reality thanks to VR.

The possibilities are endless and fashion can benefit from this too. Already today there are apps that allow you to try an item on, such as glasses or a hat, via a picture of you. There have also been services that will ask you questions about your size, weight, ethnicity, pants, and collar sizes then offer what they claim is the closest thing to a tailored garment. Some use a combination of the two methods and marry your inputted information with your picture to come up with a custom solution. Custom clothing company MTailor takes it a step further and offers an app that can measure you with the camera on your phone and deliver custom shirts, suits, and jeans.

These solutions have been relying on 2D pictures and inputted info which have plenty of room for error. With smart fabric and sensors being added to clothing, there are more options now to properly measure size and use that information to find the right clothing. LikeAGlove started a couple of years ago to use leggings to measure your shape and then transfer the data to an app. Aimed at people who are on a fitness program to lose weight, they claim to better measure your progress compared to a scale that would not help you measure how your body shape changes as you lose the pounds. The app also offers help in finding the jeans brands and models that best fit your shape.

If you combined sensors for shape tracking and AR, you could see how certain designs would look on you and then have them tailored to your shape then custom-made and delivered. Amazon announced today Echo Look, an Alexa-enabled camera that lets you take pictures and short videos using built-in LED lighting and a depth-sensing camera with computer vision-based background blur. Echo Look will let you see yourself from every angle and offer a second opinion, thanks to AI, on which outfit is best as well as suggest brands and items based on the images you collect in your style book.

Bots and Digital Assistants as Stylists

With so many businesses focusing on bots and big ecosystem players focusing on Digital Assistants, I would expect both will be able to serve my needs when it comes to shopping for clothes and accessories. Store-dedicated bots could help navigate through the latest collections or cross-store bots could fetch the item I want/need at the best price and delivery option. Offering a personal shopper that has information about your tastes, as well as look and size, could be a differentiation customers are either prepared to pay for or see as an added benefit in an all-included service. The focus here would be more on an actual shopping experience rather than on tailored clothing for those consumers who do enjoy shopping online and like to do so efficiently but, most importantly, they want to know they bought what best fits their needs.

For a more customized experience that shifts from a personal shopper to a “lady in waiting”, think how great it would be if my assistant could suggest my daily outfit based on weather and the appointments on my calendar. That would be the perfect solution to busy people who do not want to default to having to wear a gray t-shirt every day.

There is no question technology will continue to change the way I shop for clothes. What I want is for tech to help me find what I need, what fits, and what is best priced, all nicely wrapped up in a box, delivered to my door. Tech might still fail to make me a fashionista but it would have succeeded in making me a very happy shopper.

Are Mature Markets Poisoning Emerging Markets’ Tech Experience?

The other day, I was reading this fascinating and scary story of a woman in Kenya who thought she was carrying the HIV virus because an app told her so. The app was a hoax but she could not have known it as she had downloaded the app over Bluetooth from a friend and never got to read the reviews that warned about the scam. The BBC story was centered on a report funded and commissioned by the Bill & Melinda Foundation and developed by the Mozilla Foundation in close collaboration with Digital Divide Data.

The report offers a very interesting snapshot of what technology and smartphones mean in a country like Kenya. The good is how smartphones can help Kenyans, especially low-income earners, not to feel left out of society. The bad is online gambling becoming a larger issue. The ugly is what consumers in emerging market discover, especially when new to smartphones, is their experience is shaped by trends set by larger international organizations that control the ecosystem.

This last point made me think about how different the smartphone market is compared to the feature phone market and not just because the hardware is different.

Feature phones were More Customized than Smartphones

Going back to 2009/2010, emerging markets were the future of mobile as the overall mobile phone market was made up by dumb phones and manufacturers had a more focused portfolio for emerging markets. The race to control emerging markets was very much open, as Nokia fiercely defended its position in markets such as Africa, Latin America, and Asia.

What was unique about Nokia was that, even back then, their focus was on services as well as hardware. While lowering the price of feature phones, Nokia focused on lowering the requirements for data consumption, making some of their services such as music and maps available offline. Nokia also implemented a financing service for small businesses as well as a service focused on allowing users to send money called Nokia Pay.

These were the years when most of the hardware was not yet touch-based and was customized with keyboards that reflected the different languages. Applications were also pre-loaded to reflect local cultural preferences. Aside from possibly Latin America, which endured for years the hand-me-downs from the US, consumers in emerging markets were given devices that mostly reflected their needs.

These were also the years before local manufacturers, empowered by Android, started to make a dent in the market share of tier-one players and fragment the market in such a way that replicating what Nokia had became impossible due to the lack of economies of scale.

With the shift to smartphones and the pressure on margins, many vendors are prioritizing high growth markets such as China and India while trying to serve the rest of the emerging markets by leveraging what they have in the portfolio rather than customizing to the country’s needs.

Software: One Size Fits All

With the advent of smartphones, touch, and the shift to software, customization was no longer needed to be able to sell in a specific country. One phone model was shipping across more markets than ever before as most settings were delivered via software. Apps were no longer pre-installed but could be accessed through app stores that offered more international content than they did local. While software might overcome language barriers, it has less success overcoming cultural differences. Apps suitable in America or Europe might not be so in the Middle East or Africa where much of the female population is highly dependent on the men in their lives to grant them access to technology, for instance.

While the size of the emerging market population is still very appealing to hardware vendors, it is not always so compelling to developers and service providers. Tier-one developers and service providers might lack the cultural knowledge to customize and they might see the connectivity challenges and low-income barrier as issues that will always dampen their opportunity, making the investment less than worthwhile.

Many emerging markets are also mobile-only rather than mobile-first markets, making the relationship consumers have with technology quite unique. Many emerging market smartphone users have no measure of comparison for what the digital world can deliver, which makes them vulnerable to exploits. The case reported by the BBC is a very good example. Esther did not know her phone could not possibly diagnose whether she had HIV through the reading of her fingerprint on the screen. For all she knew, technology is that good.

Are Emerging Markets a Duty or an Opportunity?

Tech giants cannot ignore emerging markets in their path to world domination. Google tried through the Android One program to lower the price of smartphones in emerging markets so Android could continue to grow. However, the strength of local, combined with the little differentiation the program was giving to the devices, lead to a weak value proposition both for partners and customers alike. Plus, focusing on an online channel in markets that mainly sell via small mom and pop shops did not really help. Google also focused on improving connectivity by flying internet balloons — an endeavor that is taking much longer than first anticipated to become a reality.

Facebook started a couple of years ago with tweaking its user experience for emerging markets so the content the user was looking at was prioritized and loaded first over side stories which would not be loaded. It also launched an accelerator program to come up with ideas that make advertising rewards relevant to local users.

Finally, Facebook also focused on connectivity first with Free Basics. Users do not pay for using Facebook and other apps but some governments, like India, found it too limited. More recently, Facebook launched Express Wi-Fi in India, as a renewed attempt to offer connectivity at minimum cost by the deployment of public Wi-Fi.

The hurdles both companies have faced, however, underline the challenges of looking at emerging markets from the comfort of Silicon Valley. International telcos with interests in emerging markets such as Telenor, Megafon, and Vimpelcom (now Veon) are also trying to get a slice of the pie and they might just have the advantage of having a ton of data on the very consumers they want to serve.

The Win-Win when Tech Improves Life in Emerging Markets

Rather than focusing on lowering costs or lowering services requirements so consumers in emerging markets can afford to buy devices and subscribe to services, tech companies should focus on improving life in emerging markets. Technology should be used to improve education, eradicate diseases, improve housing and transportation and ultimately create more wealth and empower people to become a potential customer for Amazon, Google or Facebook. While the final goal might be the same and generate market growth, I would very much argue the means to an end would be much more rewarding for emerging markets.