There’s fake news, fake science, and now, “fake tech”. Fake tech is a term that came to mind while reading about the augmented reality startup Magic Leap. The company has raised $1.4 billion based on videos created to demo its technology. But new information has surfaced that indicates these videos were created using special effects, simulated by a New Zealand company that specializes in such things. While it’s not clear how real the company’s technology is, you could describe these simulated presentations as fake.
Then there’s Theranos, the health technology company that raised hundreds of millions of dollars for its fingerstick and microfluidics technologies that promised to revolutionize blood testing. The company’s value was as high as $9 billion before it was discovered that much of its technology was more wishful thinking than real. Apparently, its charismatic leader was able to persuade a number of luminaries to serve on its board while others, including Walgreen’s, made huge investments based on fake evidence or no evidence at all.
Because technology is often complicated and overwhelming to those without science or engineering training, potential customers and investors are not equipped to make knowledgeable assessments and therefore follow the crowd of believers, not wanting to be left behind.
But as many of us working in Silicon Valley know, there’s a propensity for entrepreneurs to take on tasks that may seem insurmountable, or even impossible, that can lead to real innovation and breakthroughs. Along the way, with the need to attract investment, employees and customers, it’s easy for the promises to get ahead of the reality. People want to believe and can easily fall prey to those leaders who may be better at promoting than the actual science.
In the case of Theranos and Magic Leap, there were early warning signs, such as the companies’ refusal to provide real demos. In both cases, the truth came out when former employees came forward with their stories. In the case of Theranos, an intensive investigation by the WSJ did much to undermine the company’s credibility.
I’ve also experienced fake tech on Indiegogo and Kickstarter. There are products described with seemingly impossible claims that can’t be verified by the host sites. So, anyone with a clever idea and a simulated video can raise money proposing an idea that’s impossible to do. Some may know it’s impossible but many don’t know what they don’t know and believe it can be accomplished with enough money.
In addition to these, there are more nuanced examples of fake tech practiced by major companies that rely on exaggerated claims to garner publicity and boost their stock. While perhaps not completely fake, they are a lot less than what they seem to be.
Uber claimed they were beginning to use driverless cars in Pittsburgh when, in fact, they were starting to test the cars with a professional driver at the wheel. Amazon announced last year they were going to begin delivery of packages using drones, yet it will be years away.
In these cases, the press jumped on these stories, encouraged by the companies’ professional PR people, skilled at creating headlines out of bits of truth, and playing to the strengths and weakness of gullible reporters. While perhaps not factually inaccurate, the results were closer to almost-fake tech.
What fuels fake tech is what fuels fake news — the need to create headlines that result in clicks, eyeballs and hence, dollars. The need to get above the noise and stand out in some way. Too often, there are reporters not trained in science or technology that fall for these stories without a critical eye. They too want to believe and, as a result, promote a story without understanding the nuances behind it.
What’s the solution? Good reporting by trained journalists that understand basic science. Reporters that have a skeptical eye who understand they can’t accept all they are told. The need to assess claims using industry experts without financial ties to the company or its investors. Reliance on industry analysts who have seen and heard it all before and are not taken in by unsubstantiated claims.
“What’s the solution?”
You offered the solutions yourself. Do your own work, your own research, and do not depend on analysts, journalists, celebrities, marketers, and fortune tellers to fill that function for you.
“One born every minute…” – It’s as old as investing.
I would think that a surefire cure for fake tech would be real jail terms. But nowadays a tech swindler is about as likely to do time as a bankster.
I’m not ready to write off Magic Leap yet. Too many credible people have claimed to see demos that were mind blowing. Of course, shrinking the tech in both size and cost may be something that a startup can’t accomplish before running out of cash.
“Investors are not equipped to make knowledgeable assessments”
Any investor who puts his money into something, without consulting those who do have science or engineering training, is a dumb investor.
Theranos shows that a young, pretty, and clever woman can deceive a lot of older men. It’s an old story.
I agree, but doesn’t tech in particular have a certain history with such things? How is this substantively different from vaporware?
Joe
The difference is that vaporware was often (though certainly not exclusively) used by established companies to stifle demand for competing products.
> There’s fake news, fake science, and now, “fake tech”.
Fake tech has been around for decades. It is also called vaporware, so I don’t know why you’re treating it like it is a new concept.
As a matter of fact, it’s been around for centuries:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Turk
I think the difference here between today’s fake tech and traditional vaporware is that the latter generally does not attract hundreds of millions of dollars in blind investments. Both get plenty of press attention and hype, but vaporware tends to vanish pretty quickly, whereas companies like Theranos and Magic Leap seem to almost cross the line into fraud by taking in so much investment capital and can do so for years.
It’s very hard to find independent experts. VC (or just plain Corp) money dwarfs what’s available in academia, journalism and government. So not only are there few people with a reason to burst bubbles (what millions are there to be made by debunking lies ?), but these few are hard-pressed to find objective sources a 20k grant to buy a scientist is a drop in the sea for well-funded firms, there are only that many scientists).
One level up from tech is science, and even there, consensus theories are being defeated by interest groups with an agenda.
“what millions are there to be made by debunking lies ?”
Exactly.
Joe
They should gamify debunking a fake tech experience. If you discovered a tech lie – receive a fake , strikethrough, money. Worst comes to worst – they’ll make a sci-fi movie out of fake tech.
There’s no question there are politics, agenda’s, and yes, priesthoods in the sciences. Fortunately it’s self correcting. Science is driven by truth. The reward system ultimately destroys bad science and rewards good science. The arbiter? Experimental facts. You can’t oppose nature and win.
The unfortunate thing is that it takes time. Aristotle and Pythagoras, great as they were, did not only advance the human condition, but unfortunately, held it back due to their followers zealous defense of their mistakes.
Hey, today’s xkcd is almost topical:
http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/startup_opportunity.png
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그러나 그것이 황금률이라 할지라도 평범한 사람들이 그것을 어떻게 들을 수 있겠습니까?
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그는 화가 난 것이 아니라 화가 난 홍지황제의 분노를 이해할 수 있었다.
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Zhu Houzhao는 이미 고개를 숙이고 있었고 열에 아홉은 비웃음 속에 숨어있었습니다.
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메뚜기 떼와 같은 무수한 화살이 하늘에서 호의 반을 가로질렀다.
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그는 Liang Min을 바라보며 “여기서 공부하는 아이들이 왜 그렇게 많습니까?”
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그러나 이때 한 내시가 급히 들어왔다. “폐하…폐하…”
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Zhu Houzhao는 증기 기관차의 전송 시스템을 만드는 데 전념했습니다.
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Buhua는 파리를 먹은 것 같았습니다. 그는 죽고 싶었습니다.
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그러나 Zhu Houzhao는 분명히 진화론의 가장 좋은 증거입니다.
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그러나 폐하께서 모두 떠나라고 명하셨기에 그들은 경례를 하고 떠날 수밖에 없었다.
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Liu Yin은 서둘러 말했습니다. “전하, 여기 머물면서 며칠 쉬고 기다리십시오 …”
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그는 여전히 제자들에게 읽는 방법을 가르치고 있으며 제자들이 배우는 것 또한 매우 배려적입니다.
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Fang Jifan은 갑자기 눈을 떴습니다. “하지만 Little Ouyang이라고 불리는 Xu Pengju?”
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Hongzhi 황제는 “이 빨간색 …”이라는 마음의 흥분을 억누르며 얼굴을 낮추었습니다.
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이 비옥하지 않은 땅 때문에 수많은 사람들이 허리띠에 머리를 묶게 놔두시겠습니까?
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먼저 미래 철도 자산을 패키징해야 하고 그 다음에는…
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그가 말하면서 그는 의식이 빠진 것 같다는 것을 갑자기 깨달았습니다.말을 하는 동안 몸이 덜덜 떨렸고 겨우 눈을 뜰 수 있었다.
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항상 시장 상황에 대해 문의하는 것은 여기 Xishan 뿐만이 아닙니다.
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그런데… 치궈공의 베이징 복귀 소식이 더욱 미친 듯이 퍼지기 시작했습니다.
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다른 아내들도 나를 보고, 나도 당신을 보고, 서로를 바라보았다.
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Jingjiang 왕 Zhu Yueqi는 수염을 쓰다듬으며 웃으며 “Hou Cong은 정말 좋은 소년입니다.”
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한편, 소녀는 어린 두 아이를 돌보기에는 너무 게을러서 여전히 책을 내려다보고 있었습니다.
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절망한 병사들은 울부짖을 수밖에 없었다.
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Hongzhi 황제는 “오, 당신은 모른다, 당신의 아들 …”
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この記事の書き方が大好きです。明確で分かりやすい。
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궁전에서는 거의 모든 사람들이 이틀 동안 조심했습니다.
Wow that was unusual. I just wrote an extremely long comment but after I clicked submit my comment didn’t appear.
Grrrr… well I’m not writing all that over again. Anyway,
just wanted to say great blog!
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으깬 감자는 실제로 그가 평소에 먹던 식사보다 낫습니다.
continuously i used to read smaller posts which as well clear their motive,
and that is also happening with this paragraph which I am reading at this place.
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Zhu Zaimo는 다시 “오, 실제로 기억했습니다. “라고 말했습니다.
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한편, 소녀는 어린 두 아이를 돌보기에는 너무 게을러서 여전히 책을 내려다보고 있었습니다.
all the time i used to read smaller articles or reviews that
also clear their motive, and that is also happening
with this article which I am reading here.
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この記事は実用性に富み、すぐにでも使える情報が満載です!
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누가 빨리 달렸는지, 누가 실수했는지, 온갖 것들이요.
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Hongzhi 황제는 그의 영혼을 고양했습니다. “어? 그렇습니까? 계속하십시오.”
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Fang Jifan은 “선배가 세상을 떠났고 신하들이 그의 영혼을 지켰습니다. 폐하 …”
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非常に有益な情報が満載で、読み応えがありました。
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같은 쥬렌의 기원은… 물론 진짜 쥬렌의 것이 아니다.
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Hongzhi 황제는 흥분하여 기념관을 들고 황실 의자에 앉았습니다.
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