I have wanted to write about the growing importance of big data and analytics for a while, but this is a tech site and I did not want to get it embroiled in the political tempests. But now that the votes have been counted, we have a stunning demonstration of the power of data, as suggested by the XKCD cartoon above.
In the closing days of the campaign, New York Times blogger Nate Silver emerged as a lightening rod. He drew fire from both Republicans and traditional pundits of all stripes for his insistence that despite the closeness of the polls, both nationally and in key states, that President Obama was an overwhelming favorite to win re-election by a narrow margin in the popular vote and a much larger one in the electoral college. He was, of course, dead on.
People who are now hailing Silver as the greatest political pundit ever are completely missing the point, because Silver’s approach was about as far as you can get from the seat-of-the-pants, anecdotal methods of pundits. He went with the data.
Silver’s best friend was something known to mathematicians and statisticians as the law of large numbers. What this theorem, first developed in the 18th century, says is that as you take many samples some some phenomenon, say the percentage of voters supporting Obama in Ohio, the results of these tests will cluster around the true value. (The law’s cousin, the central limit theorem, allows much great specificity about the nature of that clustering, but also is subject to much more stringent restrictions.)
Pundits kept focusing on individual polls and the fact that the difference fell within the margin of error.* Silver understood that as you used more and more polls, the probable error of the aggregated result shrank. In other words (and very roughly) if 10 polls each show Candidate A with a one point lead, you can be reasonably confident that A is in the lead even though the error of each poll is plus or minus three points.
Silver also used a tool that gave him a way to quantify predictions. Now a model necessarily involves making a lot of assumptions. For example, Silver’s novel (which he has been reasonably transparent about, though he has never released its detailed specification) assigned a fairly heavy weight to key economic indicators early in the campaign, but reduced the weight as time went on based on the assumption that new data have less effect as election day nears. It also involves weighting the influence of polls based on their track record and “house effect” (a tendency to favor on party or candidate relative to other polls. He then used to model to run thousands of daily simulations of possible outcomes, a sort of Monte Carlo method. His probability of victory on any given day was simply the percentage of simulations in which a candidate emerged as the winner.
This sort of analysis has only recently become possible. First, we didn’t have the raw data. There were fewer polls, and greater lags between the collection of data and its release. Second, until the recent massive increases in cheap and available computing power, doing thousands of daily runs of a model of any complexity was impossible. A similar phenomenon lies behind the increased accuracy of weather forecasts, including the extremely accurate predictions of the course and effects of Hurricane Sandy. Weather forecasters use supercomputers for their simulations because the models are far more complex, but the techniques and the beenfits are much the same.
Too bad we don’t have more data-driven analysis in tech. Of course, there’s the big problem that a lot of the necessary data just isn’t available. Only Apple, Amazon, and Samsung know exactly how many of which products they sell, and they are not inclined to share the information. Still, there are analysts who make the most of the data. Two who come to mind are Horace Dediu of Asymco, who keeps tabs on the handset business, and Mary Meeker of Kleiner Perkins, who provides infrequent but deep data dives. We could badly use more data and less posturing.
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*–Poll margin of error is one of the most misunderstood concepts around. First of all, the term should be abandoned. The correct concept is a confidence interval; what you are saying when you claim a margin of error is plus or minus three points is that some percentage of the time (the confidence level, typically 95% in polling) the actual result wii be within three points of the reported value. Pollster should act more like engineers and surround their point values with error bars. Second, the size of the confidence interval is purely a function of the sample size and says nothing whatever about how well a poll is executed. So a poll with poorly put questions and a badly drawn but large sample will have a tighter confidence interval than a much better done poll with a smaller sample.
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民調
民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。
目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：
抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
民調是怎麼調查的?
民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。
以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：
定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。
為什麼要做民調？
民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：
政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。
民調可信嗎？
民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？
在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。
受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。
從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。
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民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。
目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：
抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
民調是怎麼調查的?
民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。
以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：
定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。
為什麼要做民調？
民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：
政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。
民調可信嗎？
民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？
在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。
受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。
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2024全新上線❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG賽特玩法說明介紹
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱是由ATG電子獨家開發的古埃及風格線上老虎機，在傳說中戰神賽特是「力量之神」與奈芙蒂斯女神結成連理，共同守護古埃及的奇幻秘寶，只有被選中的冒險者才能進入探險。
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG賽特介紹
2024最新老虎機【戰神塞特】- ATG電子 X 富遊娛樂城
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG電子
線上老虎機系統 : ATG電子
發行年分 : 2024年1月
最大倍數 : 51000倍
返還率 : 95.89%
支付方式 : 全盤倍數、消除掉落
最低投注金額 : 0.4元
最高投注金額 : 2000元
可否選台 : 是
可選台台數 : 350台
免費遊戲 : 選轉觸發+購買特色
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 賠率說明
戰神塞特老虎機賠率算法非常簡單，玩家們只需要不斷的轉動老虎機，成功消除物件即可贏分，得分賠率依賠率表計算。
當盤面上沒有物件可以消除時，倍數符號將會相加形成總倍數!該次旋轉的總贏分即為 : 贏分 X 總倍數。
積分方式如下 :
贏分=(單次押注額/20) X 物件賠率
EX : 單次押注額為1，盤面獲得12個戰神賽特倍數符號法老魔眼
贏分= (1/20) X 1000=50
以下為各個得分符號數量之獎金賠率 :
得分符號 獎金倍數 得分符號 獎金倍數
戰神賽特倍數符號聖甲蟲 6 2000
5 100
4 60 戰神賽特倍數符號黃寶石 12+ 200
10-11 30
8-9 20
戰神賽特倍數符號荷魯斯之眼 12+ 1000
10-11 500
8-9 200 戰神賽特倍數符號紅寶石 12+ 160
10-11 24
8-9 16
戰神賽特倍數符號眼鏡蛇 12+ 500
10-11 200
8-9 50 戰神賽特倍數符號紫鑽石 12+ 100
10-11 20
8-9 10
戰神賽特倍數符號神箭 12+ 300
10-11 100
8-9 40 戰神賽特倍數符號藍寶石 12+ 80
10-11 18
8-9 8
戰神賽特倍數符號屠鐮刀 12+ 240
10-11 40
8-9 30 戰神賽特倍數符號綠寶石 12+ 40
10-11 15
8-9 5
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 賠率說明(橘色數值為獲得數量、黑色數值為得分賠率)
ATG賽特 – 特色說明
ATG賽特 – 倍數符號獎金加乘
玩家們在看到盤面上出現倍數符號時，務必把握機會加速轉動ATG賽特老虎機，倍數符號會隨機出現2到500倍的隨機倍數。
當盤面無法在消除時，這些倍數總和會相加，乘上當時累積之獎金，即為最後得分總額。
倍數符號會出現在主遊戲和免費遊戲當中，玩家們千萬別錯過這個可以瞬間將得獎金額拉高的好機會!
ATG賽特 – 倍數符號獎金加乘
ATG賽特 – 倍數符號圖示
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在古埃及神話中，聖甲蟲又稱為「死亡之蟲」，它被當成了天球及重生的象徵，守護古埃及的奇幻秘寶。
當玩家在盤面上，看見越來越多的聖甲蟲時，千萬不要膽怯，只需在牌面上斬殺4~6個ATG賽特免費遊戲符號，就可以進入15場免費遊戲!
在免費遊戲中若轉出3~6個聖甲蟲免費遊戲符號，可額外獲得5次免費遊戲，最高可達100次。
當玩家的累積贏分且盤面有倍數物件時，盤面上的所有倍數將會加入總倍數!
ATG賽特 – 選台模式贏在起跑線
為避免神聖的寶物被盜墓者奪走，富有智慧的法老王將金子塔內佈滿迷宮，有的設滿機關讓盜墓者寸步難行，有的暗藏機關可以直接前往存放神秘寶物的暗房。
ATG賽特老虎機設有350個機檯供玩家選擇，這是連魔龍老虎機、忍老虎機都給不出的機台數量，為的就是讓玩家，可以隨時進入神秘的古埃及的寶藏聖域，挖掘長眠已久的神祕寶藏。
【戰神塞特老虎機】選台模式
❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 選台模式
ATG賽特 – 購買免費遊戲挖掘秘寶
玩家們可以使用當前投注額的100倍購買免費遊戲!進入免費遊戲再也不是虛幻。獎勵與一般遊戲相同，且購買後遊戲將自動開始，直到場次和獎金發放完畢為止。
有購買免費遊戲需求的玩家們，立即點擊「開始」，啟動神秘金字塔裡的古埃及祕寶吧!
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看完了❰戰神賽特老虎機❱介紹之後，玩家們是否也蓄勢待發要進入古埃及的世界，一探神奇秘寶探險之旅。
本次ATG賽特與線上娛樂城推薦第一名的富遊娛樂城合作，只需要加入會員，即可領取到168體驗金，免費試玩420轉!
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5 100
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10-11 500
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10-11 24
8-9 16
戰神賽特倍數符號眼鏡蛇 12+ 500
10-11 200
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10-11 20
8-9 10
戰神賽特倍數符號神箭 12+ 300
10-11 100
8-9 40 戰神賽特倍數符號藍寶石 12+ 80
10-11 18
8-9 8
戰神賽特倍數符號屠鐮刀 12+ 240
10-11 40
8-9 30 戰神賽特倍數符號綠寶石 12+ 40
10-11 15
8-9 5
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當盤面無法在消除時，這些倍數總和會相加，乘上當時累積之獎金，即為最後得分總額。
倍數符號會出現在主遊戲和免費遊戲當中，玩家們千萬別錯過這個可以瞬間將得獎金額拉高的好機會!
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在古埃及神話中，聖甲蟲又稱為「死亡之蟲」，它被當成了天球及重生的象徵，守護古埃及的奇幻秘寶。
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ATG賽特老虎機設有350個機檯供玩家選擇，這是連魔龍老虎機、忍老虎機都給不出的機台數量，為的就是讓玩家，可以隨時進入神秘的古埃及的寶藏聖域，挖掘長眠已久的神祕寶藏。
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カスタマーサポートは365日24時間稼働しているので、初心者の方にも安心してご利用いただけます。
さらに【業界初のオンラインポーカー】を導入！毎日トーナメントも開催されているので、早速参加しちゃいましょう！
RTP(還元率)公開や、入出金対応がスムーズで初心者向き
2000種類以上の豊富なゲーム数を誇り、スロットゲーム多数！
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コニベットは、その豊富なボーナスと高還元率、そして安心のキャッシュバック制度で知られています。まず、新規登録者には入金不要の$20ボーナスが提供され、さらに初回入金時には最大$650の還元ボーナスが得られます。これらのキャンペーンはプレイヤーにとって大きな魅力となっています。
また、コニベットの特徴的な点は、VIP制度です。一度ロイヤルクラブになると、降格がなく、スロットリベートが1.5%という驚異の還元率を享受できます。これは他のオンラインカジノと比較しても非常に高い還元率です。さらに、常時週間損失キャッシュバックも行っているため、不運で負けてしまった場合でも取り返すチャンスがあります。これらの特徴から、コニベットはプレイヤーにとって非常に魅力的なオンラインカジノと言えるでしょう。
コニベット 無料会員登録をする
| コニベットのボーナス
コニベットは、新規登録者向けに20ドルの入金不要ボーナスを用意しています
コニベットカジノでは、限定で初回入金後に残高が1ドル未満になった場合、入金額の50%（最高500ドル）がキャッシュバックされる。キャッシュバック額に出金条件はないため、獲得後にすぐ出金することも可能です。
| コニベットの入金方法
入金方法 最低 / 最高入金
マスターカード 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
ジェイシービー 最低 : $20/ 最高 : $6,000
アメックス 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
アイウォレット 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
スティックペイ 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
仮想通貨 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
銀行送金 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
| コニベット出金方法
出金方法 最低 ｜最高出金
アイウォレット 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
スティックぺイ 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
仮想通貨 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
銀行送金 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
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日本にオンラインカジノおすすめランキング2024年最新版
2024おすすめのオンラインカジノ
オンラインカジノはパソコンでしか遊べないというのは、もう一昔前の話。現在はスマホやタブレットなどのモバイル端末からも、パソコンと変わらないクオリティでオンラインカジノを当たり前に楽しむことができるようになりました。
数あるモバイルカジノの中で、当サイトが厳選したトップ5カジノはこちら。
オンラインカジノおすすめ: コニベット(Konibet)
コニベットといえば、キャッシュバックや毎日もらえるリベートボーナスなど豪華ボーナスが満載！それに加えて低い出金条件も見どころです。さらにVIPレベルごとの還元率の高さも業界内で突出している点や、出金速度の速さなどトータルバランスの良さからもハイローラーの方にも好まれています。
カスタマーサポートは365日24時間稼働しているので、初心者の方にも安心してご利用いただけます。
さらに【業界初のオンラインポーカー】を導入！毎日トーナメントも開催されているので、早速参加しちゃいましょう！
RTP(還元率)公開や、入出金対応がスムーズで初心者向き
2000種類以上の豊富なゲーム数を誇り、スロットゲーム多数！
今なら$20の入金不要ボーナスと最大$650還元ボーナス！
8種類以上のライブカジノプロバイダー
業界初オンラインポーカーあり，日本利用者数No.1の安心のオンラインカジノメディア！
おすすめポイント
コニベットは、その豊富なボーナスと高還元率、そして安心のキャッシュバック制度で知られています。まず、新規登録者には入金不要の$20ボーナスが提供され、さらに初回入金時には最大$650の還元ボーナスが得られます。これらのキャンペーンはプレイヤーにとって大きな魅力となっています。
また、コニベットの特徴的な点は、VIP制度です。一度ロイヤルクラブになると、降格がなく、スロットリベートが1.5%という驚異の還元率を享受できます。これは他のオンラインカジノと比較しても非常に高い還元率です。さらに、常時週間損失キャッシュバックも行っているため、不運で負けてしまった場合でも取り返すチャンスがあります。これらの特徴から、コニベットはプレイヤーにとって非常に魅力的なオンラインカジノと言えるでしょう。
コニベット 無料会員登録をする
| コニベットのボーナス
コニベットは、新規登録者向けに20ドルの入金不要ボーナスを用意しています
コニベットカジノでは、限定で初回入金後に残高が1ドル未満になった場合、入金額の50%（最高500ドル）がキャッシュバックされる。キャッシュバック額に出金条件はないため、獲得後にすぐ出金することも可能です。
| コニベットの入金方法
入金方法 最低 / 最高入金
マスターカード 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
ジェイシービー 最低 : $20/ 最高 : $6,000
アメックス 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
アイウォレット 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
スティックペイ 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
仮想通貨 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
銀行送金 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
| コニベット出金方法
出金方法 最低 ｜最高出金
アイウォレット 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
スティックぺイ 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
仮想通貨 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
銀行送金 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
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Теневые рынки и их незаконные деятельности представляют существенную угрозу безопасности общества и являются объектом внимания правоохранительных органов по всему миру. В данной статье мы обсудим так называемые теневые рынки, где возможно покупать фальшивые паспорта, и какие угрозы это несет для граждан и государства.
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Покупка нелегального паспорта на теневых рынках представляет значительную угрозу национальной безопасности. похищение личных данных, изготовление фальшивых документов и нелегальные идентификационные материалы могут быть использованы для совершения террористических актов, обмана и прочих преступлений.
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Использование финансовых карт является существенной составляющей современного общества. Карты предоставляют удобство, секретность и разнообразные варианты для проведения финансовых сделок. Однако, кроме легального использования, существует темная сторона — обналичивание карт, когда карты используются для вывода наличных средств без согласия владельца. Это является незаконной практикой и влечет за собой серьезные наказания.
Вывод наличных средств с карт представляет собой практики, направленные на извлечение наличных средств с карты, необходимые для того, чтобы обойти защитные меры и оповещений, предусмотренных банком. К сожалению, такие противозаконные деяния существуют, и они могут привести к финансовым потерям для банков и клиентов.
Одним из способов вывода наличных средств является использование технологических трюков, таких как кража данных с магнитных полос карт. Скимминг — это техника, при котором злоумышленники устанавливают устройства на банкоматах или терминалах оплаты, чтобы считывать информацию с магнитной полосы банковской карты. Полученные данные затем используются для формирования реплики карты или проведения транзакций в интернете.
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Даркнет – это сегмент интернета, которая остается скрытой от обычных поисковых систем и требует специального программного обеспечения для доступа. В этой анонимной зоне сети существует масса ресурсов, включая различные списки и каталоги, предоставляющие доступ к разнообразным услугам и товарам. Давайте рассмотрим, что представляет собой даркнет список и какие тайны скрываются в его глубинах.
Даркнет Списки: Врата в Невидимый Мир
Для начала, что такое даркнет список? Это, по сути, каталоги или индексы веб-ресурсов в темной части интернета, которые позволяют пользователям находить нужные услуги, товары или информацию. Эти списки могут варьироваться от форумов и магазинов до ресурсов, специализирующихся на различных аспектах анонимности и криптовалют.
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Черный Рынок:
Даркнет часто ассоциируется с рынком андеграунда, где можно найти различные товары и услуги, включая наркотики, оружие, украденные данные и даже услуги профессиональных устрашителей. Списки таких ресурсов позволяют пользователям без труда находить подобные предложения.
Чаты и Сообщества:
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Информационные ресурсы:
Есть ресурсы, предоставляющие информацию и инструкции по обходу цензуры, защите конфиденциальности и другим темам, интересным пользователям, стремящимся сохранить анонимность.
Безопасность и Осторожность
При всей своей анонимности и свободе действий темная сторона интернета также несет риски. Мошенничество, кибератаки и незаконные сделки становятся частью этого мира. Пользователям необходимо проявлять максимальную осторожность и соблюдать меры безопасности при взаимодействии с даркнет списками.
Заключение: Врата в Неизведанный Мир
Даркнет списки предоставляют доступ к теневым уголкам интернета, где сокрыты тайны и возможности. Однако, как и в любой неизведанной территории, важно помнить о возможных рисках и осознанно подходить к использованию темной стороны интернета. Анонимность не всегда гарантирует безопасность, и путешествие в этот мир требует особой осторожности и знания.
Независимо от того, интересуетесь ли вы техническими аспектами интернет-безопасности, ищете уникальные товары или просто исследуете новые грани интернета, даркнет списки предоставляют ключ
Даркнет – таинственная зона всемирной паутины, избегающая взоров обычных поисковых систем и требующая дополнительных средств для доступа. Этот скрытый ресурс сети обильно насыщен сайтами, предоставляя доступ к разнообразным товарам и услугам через свои даркнет списки и каталоги. Давайте ближе рассмотрим, что представляют собой эти списки и какие тайны они сокрывают.
Даркнет Списки: Окна в Неизведанный Мир
Индексы веб-ресурсов в темной части интернета – это вид проходы в неощутимый мир интернета. Перечни и указатели веб-ресурсов в даркнете, они позволяют пользователям отыскивать разнообразные услуги, товары и информацию. Варьируя от форумов и магазинов до ресурсов, уделяющих внимание аспектам анонимности и криптовалютам, эти списки предоставляют нам шанс заглянуть в таинственный мир даркнета.
Категории и Возможности
Теневой Рынок:
Даркнет часто связывается с теневым рынком, где доступны разнообразные товары и услуги – от наркотических препаратов и стрелкового вооружения до украденных данных и услуг наемных убийц. Списки ресурсов в этой категории облегчают пользователям находить подходящие предложения без лишних усилий.
Форумы и Сообщества:
Даркнет также предоставляет площадку для анонимного общения. Форумы и сообщества, указанные в каталогах даркнета, охватывают различные темы – от компьютерной безопасности и хакерских атак до политических аспектов и философских концепций.
Информационные Ресурсы:
На даркнете есть ресурсы, предоставляющие сведения и руководства по преодолению цензуры, обеспечению конфиденциальности и другим темам, интересным тем, кто хочет сохранить свою конфиденциальность.
Безопасность и Осторожность
Несмотря на неизвестность и свободу, даркнет полон рисков. Мошенничество, кибератаки и незаконные сделки присущи этому миру. Взаимодействуя с списками ресурсов в темной сети, пользователи должны соблюдать максимальную осторожность и придерживаться мер безопасности.
Заключение
Списки даркнета – это путь в неизведанный мир, где сокрыты тайны и возможности. Однако, как и в любой неизведанной территории, путешествие в темную сеть требует особой осторожности и знания. Анонимность не всегда гарантирует безопасность, и использование даркнета требует осознанного подхода. Независимо от ваших интересов – будь то технические детали в области кибербезопасности, поиск необычных товаров или исследование новых возможностей в интернете – реестры даркнета предоставляют ключ
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В последнее период становятся известными запросы о заливах без предварительной оплаты – услугах, предоставляемых в сети, где клиентам обещают выполнение задачи или предоставление услуги перед оплаты. Однако, за данной кажущейся возможностью могут прятаться значительные риски и негативные последствия.
Привлекательная сторона безоплатных заливов:
Привлекательная сторона концепции заливов без предварительной оплаты заключается в том, что клиенты получают сервис или продукцию, не выплачивая первоначально деньги. Это может показаться выгодным и удобным, в частности для тех, кто не хочет ставить под риск деньгами или остаться обманутым. Однако, до того как вовлечься в сферу безоплатных переводов, следует принять во внимание несколько важных аспектов.
Риски и негативные последствия:
Мошенничество и недобросовестные действия:
За честными предложениями без предварительной оплаты могут скрываться мошеннические схемы, приготовленные использовать уважение потребителей. Попав в их ловушку, вы можете лишиться не только это, услуги финансов.
Сниженное качество выполнения услуг:
Без обеспечения оплаты исполнителю может быть недостаточно стимула предоставить высококачественную работу или товар. В результате заказчик останется недовольным, а исполнитель не подвергнется серьезными санкциями.
Утрата данных и безопасности:
При предоставлении личных сведений или информации о банковских счетах для безоплатных переводов существует риск утечки информации и последующего ихнего неправомерного использования.
Рекомендации по безопасным переводам:
Исследование:
Перед подбором бесплатных переводов осуществите комплексное исследование исполнителя. Мнения, рейтинги и репутация могут быть полезным показателем.
Предоплата:
Если возможно, старайтесь согласовать определенный процент оплаты вперед. Это может сделать соглашение более защищенной и гарантирует вам больший управления.
Достоверные платформы:
Предпочитайте использованию проверенных площадок и сервисов для заливов. Такой выбор уменьшит риск обмана и повысит шансы на получение наилучших качественных услуг.
Итог:
Не смотря на видимую привлекательность, безвозмездные переводы без предварительной оплаты несут в себе риски и потенциальные опасности. Осторожность и осмотрительность при выборе исполнителя или сервиса способны предупредить негативные ситуации. Важно запомнить, что безоплатные переводы могут стать причиной затруднений, и разумное принятие решений способствует предотвратить потенциальных неприятностей
даркнет новости
Теневая зона – это таинственная и непознанная территория интернета, где действуют свои правила, возможности и опасности. Каждый день в мире теневой сети происходят события, о которых обычные участники могут только подозревать. Давайте изучим актуальные сведения из теневой зоны, отражающие современные тенденции и инциденты в этом таинственном уголке сети.”
Тенденции и События:
“Эволюция Технологий и Безопасности:
В даркнете непрерывно развиваются технологии и методы обеспечения безопасности. Новости о внедрении улучшенных платформ шифрования, анонимизации и защиты личных данных говорят о стремлении пользователей и специалистов к обеспечению надежной среды.”
“Свежие Теневые Рынки:
В соответствии с динамикой спроса и предложений, в теневом интернете появляются совершенно новые коммерческие площадки. Информация о открытии цифровых рынков предоставляют участникам различные варианты для купли-продажи продукцией и услугами
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Даркнет 2024: Неявные аспекты цифровой среды
С начала даркнет представлял собой сферу веба, где секретность и тень были нормой. В 2024 году этот непрозрачный мир продолжает, предоставляя новые вызовы и опасности для сообщества в сети. Рассмотрим, какими тенденции и изменения ожидают нас в даркнете 2024.
Продвижение технологий и Повышение скрытности
С прогрессом технологий, инструменты для обеспечения скрытности в теневом интернете становятся сложнее и эффективными. Использование криптовалют, современных шифровальных методов и децентрализованных сетей делает слежение за поведением участников еще более трудным для силовых структур.
Развитие тематических рынков
Темные рынки, специализирующиеся на разнообразных продуктах и сервисах, продолжают расширяться. Наркотики, оружие, хакерские инструменты, краденые данные – ассортимент продукции становится все разнообразным. Это порождает вызов для правопорядка, стоящего перед необходимостью адаптироваться к изменяющимся сценариям преступной деятельности.
Опасности цифровой безопасности для обычных пользователей
Сервисы аренды хакерских услуг и мошеннические схемы остаются активными в даркнете. Люди, не связанные с преступностью попадают в руки объектом для преступников в сети, стремящихся зайти к персональной информации, счетам в банке и другой конфиденциальной информации.
Возможности цифровой реальности в даркнете
С прогрессом техники цифровой симуляции, теневой интернет может перейти в новый этап, предоставляя пользователям реальные и вовлекающие виртуальные пространства. Это может сопровождаться дополнительными видами нелегальных действий, такими как виртуальные торговые площадки для передачи цифровыми товарами.
Борьба силам защиты
Силы безопасности совершенствуют свои технические средства и методы противостояния даркнетом. Совместные усилия стран и международных организаций ориентированы на профилактику цифровой преступности и противостояние современным проблемам, которые возникают в связи с развитием темного интернета.
Заключение
Теневой интернет в 2024 году остается сложной и многогранной обстановкой, где технические инновации продвигаются вносить изменения в пейзаж нелегальных действий. Важно для участников продолжать быть бдительными, гарантировать свою защиту в интернете и следовать нормы, даже при нахождении в цифровой среде. Вместе с тем, противостояние с теневым интернетом требует совместных усилиях от стран, технологических компаний и граждан, чтобы обеспечить безопасность в цифровом мире.
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Взлом Telegram: Мифы и Реальность
Телеграм – это популярный мессенджер, отмеченный своей превосходной степенью кодирования и защиты данных пользователей. Однако, в современном цифровом мире тема взлома Telegram периодически поднимается. Давайте рассмотрим, что на самом деле стоит за этим понятием и почему нарушение Телеграм чаще является фантазией, чем реальностью.
Кодирование в Телеграм: Основные принципы Безопасности
Телеграм известен своим превосходным уровнем кодирования. Для обеспечения конфиденциальности переписки между участниками используется протокол MTProto. Этот протокол обеспечивает полное кодирование, что означает, что только отправитель и получатель могут понимать сообщения.
Легенды о Взломе Telegram: Почему они появляются?
В последнее время в сети часто появляются утверждения о нарушении Telegram и доступе к персональной информации пользователей. Однако, основная часть этих утверждений оказываются неточными данными, часто возникающими из-за недопонимания принципов работы мессенджера.
Кибернападения и Раны: Фактические Угрозы
Хотя взлом Телеграма в большинстве случаев является трудной задачей, существуют актуальные опасности, с которыми сталкиваются пользователи. Например, кибератаки на индивидуальные аккаунты, вредоносные программы и прочие методы, которые, тем не менее, требуют в активном участии пользователя в их распространении.
Защита Личной Информации: Советы для Участников
Несмотря на отсутствие конкретной опасности нарушения Telegram, важно соблюдать основные правила кибербезопасности. Регулярно обновляйте приложение, используйте двухэтапную проверку, избегайте сомнительных ссылок и мошеннических атак.
Итог: Фактическая Угроза или Излишняя беспокойство?
Взлом Telegram, как обычно, оказывается неоправданным страхом, созданным вокруг темы разговора без явных доказательств. Однако безопасность всегда остается приоритетом, и участники мессенджера должны быть бдительными и следовать советам по обеспечению безопасности своей личной информации
Взлом WhatsApp: Фактичность и Мифы
WhatsApp – один из известных мессенджеров в мире, массово используемый для обмена сообщениями и файлами. Он известен своей кодированной системой обмена данными и гарантированием конфиденциальности пользователей. Однако в интернете время от времени возникают утверждения о возможности взлома WhatsApp. Давайте разберемся, насколько эти утверждения соответствуют фактичности и почему тема нарушения Вотсап вызывает столько дискуссий.
Кодирование в WhatsApp: Охрана Личной Информации
WhatsApp применяет end-to-end шифрование, что означает, что только передающая сторона и получатель могут понимать сообщения. Это стало фундаментом для уверенности многих пользователей мессенджера к сохранению их личной информации.
Легенды о Нарушении Вотсап: Почему Они Появляются?
Интернет периодически заполняют слухи о взломе Вотсап и возможном доступе к переписке. Многие из этих утверждений порой не имеют оснований и могут быть результатом паники или дезинформации.
Фактические Угрозы: Кибератаки и Безопасность
Хотя нарушение WhatsApp является трудной задачей, существуют актуальные угрозы, такие как кибератаки на отдельные аккаунты, фишинг и вредоносные программы. Исполнение мер охраны важно для минимизации этих рисков.
Защита Личной Информации: Рекомендации Пользователям
Для укрепления охраны своего аккаунта в WhatsApp пользователи могут использовать двухфакторную аутентификацию, регулярно обновлять приложение, избегать сомнительных ссылок и следить за конфиденциальностью своего устройства.
Заключение: Реальность и Осторожность
Взлом WhatsApp, как обычно, оказывается трудным и маловероятным сценарием. Однако важно помнить о реальных угрозах и принимать меры предосторожности для защиты своей личной информации. Исполнение рекомендаций по охране помогает поддерживать конфиденциальность и уверенность в использовании мессенджера
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Фальшивые купюры всегда были важной угрозой для финансовой стабильности общества. В последние годы одним из ключевых объектов манипуляций стали банкноты номиналом 5000 рублей. Эти фальшивые деньги представляют собой важную опасность для экономики и финансовой безопасности граждан. Давайте рассмотрим, почему фальшивые купюры 5000 рублей стали существенной бедой.
Сложностью выявления.
Купюры 5000 рублей являются самыми крупными по номиналу, что делает их чрезвычайно привлекательными для фальшивомонетчиков. Превосходно проработанные подделки могут быть затруднительно выявить даже специалистам в сфере финансов. Современные технологии позволяют создавать превосходные копии с использованием новейших методов печати и защитных элементов.
Риск для бизнеса.
Фальшивые 5000 рублей могут привести к крупным финансовым убыткам для предпринимателей и компаний. Бизнесы, принимающие наличные средства, становятся подвергаются риску принять фальшивую купюру, что в конечном итоге может снизить прибыль и повлечь за собой юридические последствия.
Повышение инфляции.
Фальшивые деньги увеличивают количество в обращении, что в свою очередь может привести к инфляции. Рост количества контрафактных купюр создает дополнительный денежный объем, не обеспеченный реальными товарами и услугами. Это может существенно подорвать доверие к национальной валюте и стимулировать рост цен.
Вред для доверия к финансовой системе.
Фальшивые деньги вызывают мизерию к финансовой системе в целом. Когда люди сталкиваются с риском получить фальшивые купюры при каждой сделке, они становятся более склонными избегать использования наличных средств, что может привести к обострению проблем, связанных с электронными платежами и банковскими системами.
Защитные меры и образование.
Для борьбы с распространению фальшивых денег необходимо внедрять более совершенные защитные меры на банкнотах и активно проводить просветительскую работу среди населения. Гражданам нужно быть более внимательными при приеме наличных средств и обучаться основам распознавания фальшивых купюр.
В заключение:
Фальшивые купюры 5000 рублей представляют серьезную угрозу для финансовой стабильности и безопасности граждан. Необходимо активно внедрять новые технологии защиты и проводить информационные кампании, чтобы общество было лучше осведомлено о методах распознавания и защиты от фальшивых денег. Только совместные усилия банков, правоохранительных органов и общества в целом позволят минимизировать угрозу подделок и обеспечить стабильность финансовой системы.
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Фальшивые деньги: угроза для финансовой системы и общества
Введение:
Фальшивомонетничество – нарушение, оставшееся актуальным на продолжительностью многих веков. Производство и распространение фальшивых денег представляют серьезную угрозу не только для экономической системы, но и для общественной стабильности. В данной статье мы рассмотрим масштабы проблемы, методы борьбы с фальшивомонетничеством и воздействие для социума.
История поддельных купюр:
Фальшивые деньги существуют с момента появления самой концепции денег. В древности подделывались металлические монеты, а в наше время преступники активно используют передовые технологии для фальсификации банкнот. Развитие цифровых технологий также открыло дополнительные способы для создания электронных аналогов денег.
Масштабы проблемы:
Ненастоящая валюта создают угрозу для стабильности экономики. Банки, компании и даже простые люди могут стать пострадавшими обмана. Рост количества поддельных купюр может привести к потере покупательной способности и даже к экономическим кризисам.
Современные методы подделки:
С прогрессом техники подделка стала более затруднительной и изощренной. Преступники используют высокотехнологичное оборудование, профессиональные печатающие устройства, и даже машинное обучение для создания невозможно отличить поддельные копии от оригинальных денежных средств.
Борьба с подделкой денег:
Государства и центральные банки активно внедряют современные методы для предотвращения фальшивомонетничества. Это включает в себя использование современных защитных элементов на банкнотах, просвещение граждан методам распознавания поддельных денег, а также сотрудничество с правоохранительными органами для выявления и предотвращения криминальных группировок.
Последствия для социума:
Фальшивые деньги несут не только экономические, но и социальные последствия. Граждане и бизнесы теряют доверие к финансовой системе, а борьба с криминальной деятельностью требует больших затрат, которые могли бы быть направлены на более полезные цели.
Заключение:
Фальшивые деньги – серьезная проблема, требующая уделяемого внимания и совместных усилий общества, правоохранительных органов и учреждений финансов. Только путем эффективной борьбы с нарушением можно обеспечить стабильность экономики и сохранить доверие к валютной системе
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Обналичивание карт является довольно распространенным явлением, и его частота постоянно растет с увеличением числа электронных транзакций. Киберпреступники применяют различные методы для получения доступа к финансовым средствам, включая фишинг, вредоносное программное обеспечение, скимминг и другие инновационные подходы.
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Финансовые потери для клиентов: Владельцы карт могут столкнуться с денежными потерями, так как средства могут быть списаны с их счетов без их ведома.
Угроза безопасности данных: Обналичивание карт подчеркивает угрозу безопасности личных данных, что может привести к краже личной и финансовой информации.
Ущерб репутации банков: Банки и другие финансовые учреждения могут столкнуться с утратой доверия со стороны клиентов, если их системы безопасности оказываются уязвимыми.
Проблемы для экономики: Обналичивание карт создает экономический ущерб, поскольку оно стимулирует дополнительные затраты на борьбу с мошенничеством и восстановление утраченных средств.
Борьба с обналичиванием карт:
Совершенствование технологий безопасности: Банки и финансовые институты постоянно совершенствуют свои системы безопасности, чтобы предотвратить несанкционированный доступ к картам.
Образование и информирование: Обучение клиентов о методах мошенничества и том, как защитить свои данные, является важным шагом в борьбе с обналичиванием карт.
Сотрудничество с правоохранительными органами: Банки активно сотрудничают с правоохранительными органами для выявления и пресечения преступных схем.
Заключение:
Обналичивание карт – весомая угроза для финансовой стабильности и безопасности личных данных. Решение этой проблемы требует совместных усилий со стороны банков, правоохранительных органов и общества в целом. Только эффективная борьба с мошенничеством позволит обеспечить безопасность электронных платежей и защитить интересы всех участников финансовой системы.
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