I’m sure if you surveyed many in the industry and asked them what Microsoft’s greatest asset to leverage going forward would be you would get a range of answers. I’m sure people would offer up Windows or Office as the most frequent responses to that question. From the looks of much of Microsoft’s marketing it seems as well that they feel their strength lies in Windows and Office. However, they are sitting on another asset that I believe may be the fundamental cornerstone of their success going forward. And that is the XBOX.
If you think about what drove the bulk of Microsoft’s success during the PCs golden age, most would agree it was Windows and Office. For the bulk of the PCs lifecycle it was productivity use cases that drove Microsoft assets into the corporate world and thus by default into the homes of many consumers. That world has changed and I don’t believe the same kind of strong sentiment exists with Windows or Office as it once did with the broader consumer market.
However the product that I do believe not only has more relevant mindshare with consumers than Windows and Office, but also has a largely positive sentiment is the XBOX. To date the XBOX has sold over 70 million units. Now, although that sounds much smaller than the 350-380 million traditional PCs we sell annually on a world wide basis, XBOXs cover more ground than PCs. PCs generally, have a higher penetration due to their tie to individual consumers. In an average consumer home there is generally more than one PC. But XBOXs are more communal and therefore generally only have one per household but chances are more than one person benefits from the XBOX regularly. But this device plays a very important role from an entertainment standpoint and one that I feel has driven higher consumer sentiment than many of the other Microsoft assets.
When it comes to all of Microsoft’s assets, I would argue that the XBOX is the one that is most commonly being woven into the core of many consumers media and entertainment experiences. XBOX is the new Office and I am not sure that Microsoft understands this at the level they need to.
Had Microsoft launched a XBOX tablet first and not a Surface tablet, my conviction is that they would have had much more success. Surface sales are not going well and our close supply chain sources indicate that its likely to not even sell 1M by the end of the year. Had their first go out the door been much more focused on leveraging XBOX assets and positioned more for gaming and entertainment, then I believe Microsoft would have had much more success.
Jim Dalrymple wrote an article today, that is worth reading, where he points out that Microsoft with Surface created a product that didn’t solve a problem. I agree at one leveld, but I’m sure many can make the case that Microsoft did solve a problem. My point is Microsoft solved the wrong problem with Surface. The problem Microsoft is looking to solve, one where productivity is the emphasis in both design and philosophy of a tablet, is not the one I believe most consumers are leading with when researching which product to buy. Thus with Surface, Microsoft has developed a product for the few rather than a product for the masses.
I fundamentally believe that pure tablet use cases carry more weight with the mass consumer market than notebook use cases. Things like an easy to hold and use form factor, a quality visual experience, heavy emphasis on best of breed media consumption and entertainment, simplicity and ease of use. These are the things the mass market values at the highest level. In my opinion if Microsoft was focusing on these use cases with Surface, they would have made a different product and I believe tied it more to their strongest asset for the mass consumer market–the XBOX.
Surface solved a problem of what if a consumer wanted a heavier, clunkier, slower, app-free tablet with an unknown UI, beta OS, with a sub-par version of Office. And a kickstand. And is weak in portrait mode. Problem solved.
I see zero evidence for your XBox is at the center of the users world. Also no real analysis of the user base itself. If we are working from supposition and anecdote, I’ll tell you that every Xbox user I know is a man child who likes Halo and does not control the family’s media habits. They are all embedded in iOS which the rest of the family know how to use. If Microsoft want the hardcore solo gamer, I’m sure Apple will gladly cede that market. The likely 50M extant X-Boxes probably yield 20-30% of that number as target buyers of tablets and many of those are likely already taken. Office is still their biggest asset…
The XBOX is in the top 5 and in many cases the top 3 devices which access most major over the top streaming media services. Netflix, Hulu, etc. Reports from Cisco and other major infrastructure backbone services validate the changing use cases from the XBOX as a purely gaming device to one in which many over the top services are consumed regularly.
So XBOX is a popular streaming device. I don’t think being used to access someone else’s paid media streams is much of a foundation for MS to build upon.
Why else ix XBOX the base of MS’s future?
XBox Live is the third large “paying customers” database out there (along with iTunes and Amazon).
I’m looking at this more from the future viewpoint than the current viewpoint of what XBOX is. My point is that what the XBOX represents in terms of media, entertainment, XBOX live as a social platform, etc., is the assets MSFT needs to build upon for the future. Furthermore, extending the philosophy around the XBOX to other devices in MSFT ecosystem in even tighter ways than they are now with Smart Glass is their best foot forward.
I agree that Office is based in the past and not super relevant to consumers vs. enterprise. My point is that I don’t believe that Xbox is as strong a platform as you think it is. It is very US centric (poor global penetration) and the US is the worst market to try to penetrate since it is the earliest adopting geography where other platforms also have embedded strength. You mention only US streaming services which are not globally too relevant. Apple ipads are selling equally well across the globe. Xbox is a beachhead but it seems less like DDay and more like Galipoli.
It is clearly better that MS has Xbox than doesn’t but let’s not get carried away. It didn’t help Zune, Kin or WP7.
I definitely see where you are coming from and of course there are giant hurdles competitively at a WW level. But my point is that if we look at this through a lens only focusing on Microsoft and what their assets are to build upon for the future, XBOX is the one.
Plus it is also what XBOX means in terms of media, entertainment, etc, that they can extent to other products. Tighter integration of hardware, software, Live, etc seems like a good play for them going forward.
I kind of agree with @capnbob67. It may be the 3rd largest in streaming and paying customers database but I would be more interested in actual numbers rather than relative placement to see just how significant that is. It could be argued that Windows Phone is the third largest smartphone. But it is so far behind Android and iPhone as to not mean much of anything. I just don’t see the penetration to make the XBOX, itself, the center of anything, especially in terms of brand. Anecdotally, I don’t know any XBOX owners. I know Wii and Playstation owners. Some of them may even be XBOX owners, too, but they don’t talk about that.
However, if you reframe the argument to deconstruct the XBOX into parts that can be applied more universally and XBOX becomes more of a satellite device to that core, I could buy that, possibly. Maybe call it xOS. Even iPod got folded into the iOS family with the Touch. Is this what you are talking about?
I agree that MS is making a mistake by focusing on Windows/Office for CE. Even Dell ditched the PC consumer market (so they say). Back in the day, enterprise influenced consumer PC thinking and spending. The tides have turned. I understand dancing with the one who brought you to the dance. But the dance is over. Now its time for the after party.
Joe
LOL at “xOS”
I strongly championed the “DirectOS” option of Microsoft licensing a unique gaming OS for OEMs built on DirectX right around when it overtook OpenGL as the dominant API for 3D applications. I still don’t know why Microsoft went the console route. It could have folded media center functionality into the platform 5 years ago and, with OEMs cranking out gaming/multimedia HTPCs with 3 to 5 times the graphics power of competing consoles, probably put Sony and Nintendo out of the console business.
People may not realize it but DirectX is the crown jewel of Microsoft and was the key to it solidifying the dominance of Windows in PCs. For about a decade, gaming PCs drove innovation in the PC space. I should know, I built one of the first PCs to break the 10K barrier in 3DMark.
I don’t think they should turn their back on Office and Windows and their Enterprise business, but if they want to be relevant in the consumer space, XBox is their strongest property to build from.
One possibility is this: Microsoft uses its XBox expertise to build a really great, game-oriented “XTablet”. I think they could be very successful here, as Apple has left an opening – both in terms of hardware (the touch screen and accelerometer approach just doesn’t work that well for more “serious” games), cloud support (Game Center isn’t exactly lighting the world of fire), and perhaps software (I don’t know for sure, but I doubt iOS’s game dev tools are as good as Microsoft’s). Add Skype integration, maybe Hotmail, maybe Facebook and the XBox/XTablet combination becomes a compelling alternative to the Apple TV/iPad, particularly with younger users. From a marketing standpoint, it wouldn’t be hard to promote the XBox as a cooler, edgier alternative to iOS.
There’s a lot of money in the “real” gamer business – the latest Halo sold $200M+ in one day, and the latest Call of Duty took in $1B in about 2 weeks. By comparison, the iOS store has taken in about $10B for all types of apps in its entire history.
I’ve long thought Microsoft hasn’t properly taken advantage of the Xbox. I think they might have had more success with the Zune had it been an Xbox peripheral. Tight integration between Windows Phone and XBox would make Microsoft a much more interesting alternative to Apple.
agreed.
there is deep integration between Xbox and windows phone and it is more interesting then apple
Ben, I agree that Windows and Office are the past and Xbox may be the future. The problem is the present, or specifically, how we get from here to there. The difficulty is stark: In fiscal 2012, the Microsoft Business Division, which includes Office, had revenues of $24 billion and operating income of $15 billion. Windows & Windows Live had revenue of $19 billion and income of $12 billion. Entertainment & Devices, which includes Xbox and Windows Phone, had revenue of $10 billion and profits of $365 million. In margin terms, that’s 65% for Business, 63% for Windows, and 3.8% for E&D. In other words, if Xbox is the future, Microsoft needs the profits of Windows and Office to invest in its growth.
Fortunately, despite the current perception that Microsoft is on the rocks, Office and Windows are going to produce a healthy stream of income for some time to come. The question is how well Microsoft invests it for the future
Yes the transition is the key and it will be what makes or break them in my opinion. But as I look at this from a 5 years and beyond MSFT standpoint, I keep convincing myself that building upon what the XBOX means as a philosophy for every screen is their best path forward.
They can’t get from here to there because they don’t have and can’t get a monopoly position in the home entertainment market like they have for desktop operating systems and productivity software.
Overall, XBOX integration makes sense and should be nice to have but I don’t see how it will become the key to unlock the profits Microsoft will need to sustain themselves at their current size after their current cash cows completely lose relevance.
It is not one or the other, it is both!!!
I’ve tweeted this exact sentiment on numerous occasions. The resistance to the “XBox as the new center of Microsoft’s business” philosophy is based on the fact that the division responsible for it, Entertainment and Devices, contributes relatively little to Microsoft’s bottom line currently.
However, the strength in the position is that the XBox franchise is the most cohesive and innovative of Microsoft’s products. The XBox360’s UI and UX is easily the best of all of Microsoft’s products and one of the best period, on par with anything Apple has produced. It’s monetization strategy, while it took some time to ramp up, is proving solid with a lot of expansion and upside. And XBox is probably the only brand that Microsoft has right now that has an immediate positive association for many consumers, despite its hardware stumbles. The XBox brand would be just as, if not more, effective than Surface in allowing Microsoft to introduce cutting edge (and profitable) devices with great user experiences a la Apple.
I doubt Microsoft has the culture or commitment to do the truly radical overhaul of Windows that would make it a more appealing brand for consumers, such as truly tablet specific and media center versions and a major UI redesign of the core Windows experience. But XBox is already where Microsoft wants to go. If Microsoft can find more effective ways to leverage it, it could be its new growth engine.
There may be something to this. If they tightly integrated a whole host of services then perhaps the games/entertainment could be fully interactive with skype running the voice/messages..a mini surface that acts as an in-game pda or remote / keyboard, Bing to search for shows/data…maps for surroundings in real life and in games…ad placement everywhere……also, what ever happened to all the voice research that MS did in late 90s/early 20s….how could Siri came out first when Gates talked about voice eons ago…
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Xiao Jing도 마지 못해 와서 마지 못해 Liu Jin과 함께 앉았습니다.
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이번에는 오스만이 거의 절박하다고 할 수 있다.
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세 명의 베테랑을 바라보며 자신을 부끄럽게 바라보았다.
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그가 지금 본 것은 고통받는 손자였다.
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Zhu Houzhao는 말문이 막힌 듯 보였습니다. “아직 동의하지 않았습니다.”
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그게 다야, 간신히 먹을 수 있습니다. 잘 먹고 싶다면 정말 멀리 떨어져 있습니다.
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특히 Fang Jifan이 이상한 표정으로 그를 바라 보았을 때.
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홍지황제는 눈살을 찌푸리며 “그가 정말 그렇게 말했다”고 말했다.
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그는 마음을 가리고 무릎을 꿇었습니다. “스승님…”
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Hongzhi 황제 뒤에는 그를 수행하는 대신이 서있었습니다.
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Hongzhi 황제는 잠시 생각했습니다. “그럼 Qing이 말한대로하십시오.”
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그의 지위는 영지의 왕자인 자신보다 더 고귀하다.
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“Fang Qing의 가족, 당신의 스웨터는 왜 그들의 것과 다른가요?”
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하지만 Fang Jifan이 2년 후라는 말을 들었을 때 약간의 아쉬움을 금할 수 없었습니다.
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멀리서 누군가가 소리쳤습니다. “당인이 이기고 당인이 이깁니다.
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만약… 운송수단이 열악하거나 다른 이유로 이 물건이 폭발한다면…
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이때 곤충연구소의 성과도 뿌듯하다.
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그러나 이때 외부의 누군가가 말했다. “폐하, 폐하…급합니다.”
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많은 사람들이 빨간 눈으로 Fang Jifan을 응시했습니다.
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어린 소녀가 침대로 와서 인사했습니다. “스승님, 일어나세요.”
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이 순간 그는 어지러움을 느꼈고 이마를 쓰다듬고 얼굴이 창백했습니다. 끝났습니다!
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Xishan Medical College도 이 수술에 대한 논문을 적극적으로 발표하기 시작했습니다.
mikaspa.com
주소가 선택된 곳에서 산업부는 몇 가지 계획을 내놓았습니다.
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素晴らしい洞察力!いつも勉強になります。
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このトピックについてよく研究されていて、非常に参考になります。
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다음으로 치열한 전투가 있을 것이고 그들은 준비가 되어 있습니다.
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하지만 이 순간 Chen Tong은 평정을 되찾고 힘을 되찾은 것 같았습니다.
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Zhou Tangsheng: “…” The Prodigal Son of the Ming Dynasty의 최신 챕터는 다음과 같습니다.
qiyezp.com
이때, 이 천호에서 원래의 군주와 신하들이 화기애애한 분위기 속에서 차를 마시고 있었다!
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素晴らしい洞察力で、非常に教育的な内容でした。
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적을수록 조금 적지만 이것은 3,000명의 돈과 식량에 해당합니다.
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2년 이상 동안… 대부분의 프로젝트가… 완료되었습니다.
qiyezp.com
Zhu Youzhao는 모두 동원 할 준비를하고 있었고 상대방은 Jifan을 공격했습니다.
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この記事が大好きです。とても参考になります。
tvlore.com
그들의 조상은 대대로 이곳에 왔고 과거에도 그랬고 오늘날에도 마찬가지입니다!
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Wang Shi는 여전히 약간 주저했고 Yang Zhongguan의 말이 합리적이라고 느꼈지만 …
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이 장엄한 태도와 사람을 진지하게 대하지 않는 이 목소리를 보라.
tvlore.com
“사복, 큰 소리 내지 마세요.” Hongzhi 황제가 덧붙였습니다.
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素晴らしい記事で、非常に教育的でした。感謝しています。
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그러나 한 내시가 급히 다가왔다. “폐하, 폐하…
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この記事は実に実用的で、大変役に立ちました!
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“박사님, 여기 피가 나네요, 피가…”
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Hongzhi 황제의 눈이 빛나고 진지하게 “Fang Jifan이 당신을 보자”고 말했습니다.
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Fang Jifan은 Zhu Houzhao와 손을 잡고 Zhang Yuanxi는 그의 뒤에서 절뚝 거립니다.
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맞습니다, Ouyang 씨가 여기 있습니다 그와 함께라면 우리는 확실히 그것을 고수 할 수 있습니다.
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그는 아들이 죽은 후 여러 날 잠을 잘 못 잤습니다.
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Xie Qian은 Fang Jifan을 바라보며 눈을 깜박였습니다.
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Liu Jin은 울면서 거의 기절했습니다. 그는 정말 슬펐습니다!
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“예.” Zhu Houzhao는 뛰려고했지만 그렇게 빨리 먹는 사람도 아닙니다!